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    btfd

    6/13 Retail sales miss expectations: btfd 6/14: jobless claims disappoint? btfd 6/15: industrial production miss? btfd 6/18: syriza victory gap down? btfd 6/19: housing starts bad? btfd All before the FOMC announcement 6/20
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    He's advocating more central bank manipulation.
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    Spain's bailout request- Crash or Rally on Monday??

    No crash before the Fed Meeting. Dass es verboten. Potential gap down following Greece election would quickly retrace ahead of Fed Meeting in anticipation of some policy action. The Bearded One will probably say "ready to act at any given moment, blah, blah, blah."
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    Market crash on monday?

    From a bear's perspective, the next couple of hurdles will be the 6/20 Fed decision, then the EU Summit 6/28 - 6/29.
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    Market crash on monday?

    Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me.
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    If the trend is still down, then I agree this is probably the best time to re-short this market [assuming ~1340 when market opens]. I really don't see the Fed coming in aggressively with more easing unless SPX breaches 1200 level, so an exit somewhat above this would be ideal because the risk of...
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    Spain's bailout request- Crash or Rally on Monday??

    Rally may not be as much as 3-4%. Part of move was priced in Friday on the rumor. Saudi market up only 1.30% http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/SASEIDX:IND/chart
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    Spain's bailout request- Crash or Rally on Monday??

    Initial equity rally, but bond traders should be smarter now. Spanish yields should skyrocket within weeks, causing stocks to crash again, then another coordinated effort among central bankers + QE3 to manipulate everything back up again.
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    2012: The Battle for Survival

    I know what went wrong for me. Stocks went up when I was caught with my shorts down.
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    GDX bottomed 5/16/12 and has been trending higher since. While GDX has pierced the 4/27 high, GLD has not. Gold didn't really put in a solid bottom until 5/30/12. Miners have been leading from recent lows.
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    A trading secret only some will understand...

    I thought I was going to read about the trading version of TOE (Theory of Everything).
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    Market crash on monday?

    SPX barely declined 10% from the highs and TPTB were in panic mode, coming out with the BS Hilsenrath QE3 leak. I still think SPX could go down to 1210 level in the coming weeks before CBs go crazy (Almighty forbid should SPX ever trade below 1200 again because that would be the...
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    Todays massive up move in the market

    Okay, but stocks were susceptible to going down on bad news because there was no explicit QE3 hinted at today.
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    EURUSD Master--- Live Trading CALL

    Back down to 1.2350 area within a few days.
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    Todays massive up move in the market

    Talk about a delayed reaction. SPX futures now -5.8 pts in after hours.
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    Todays massive up move in the market

    There you go. Stocks are in the red now.
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Take out "illusion of control" and insert Potemkin illusion of prosperity. It should read, "Asset prices must always be maintained at higher and higher levels in order to maintain the Potemkin illusion of prosperity." In 2010, SPX was maintained at 1,000 level. In 2011, SPX held the 1,100...
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    First Law of central bank manipulation: Asset prices must always be maintained at higher and higher levels in order to maintain the illusion of control. Bernanke won't let the S&P 500 meaningfully slip below 1200 level, and he will ultimately need QE3 to pull that rabbit out of his hat.
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Another face-ripping bear rally inspired by Hilsenrath, like in March.
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Nice chart. Makes me think we don't get QE3 on 6/20/12, but it will be "on the table," as they always say.
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