What I hear you saying is that random discretionary trading doesn't work, and I agree. But even rules-based and backtested strategies that require manual order placement have to on some level start with the statement "I think the market will ... BASED ON my studies of 'XYZ' ... " ... do they...
I agree with you on the gap fill. Q's filled, but I think that's it. fwiw 1350 is the hourly 200ema (currently) and also the gap left from Friday's close. Today's low hit 70 pts from the last ema touch. I could actually see it going maybe 90 max unless there's a full-on crash (flash crash was...
Speaking out of turn here but ... seemed like a good scalp at least: 50% p/b of move off low, overextended from ema's on the hourly, and local R10 (for the cherry on top). :)
Absolutely, quite possible. Hourly chart is very bearish imho, after the rejection of 95.30 area.
Only thing giving me pause now is indices are bullish (big hammer on ES hourly). So who knows.
Nah, I'm considering the good possibility your DT (triple actually) is HOD.
Edit: If we break this deep p/b chann. (bounced pretty hard off the bottom), the DT will probably not hold. .... 95.17 in the cards.