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So, as the market falls, at what point do you consider an entry now? How much decline is enough for you to say that yes, NOW it's time to short? Thanks.

back test? That means nothing. Everyone can create a successful strategy to match a certain period in history. Let your algorithm run for 6 months, make 1000+ trades in that time and then come back and tell me what was your ROI and sortino.

only? That's plenty. And i'm not trying to be provocative, i just explained what i've noticed. You'd have a win-win if it works. Good luck!

See, That's the thing, i never seem to get anyone do a journal of their successful strategy. I mean why not? Surely, it won't fail as all of you describe. And if you are as successful with your strategy then you'll get tons of positive engagement and notice. Why so shy? Why just talk the talk...

Just because a breakout fails 70% of the time doesn't mean your stop can't get it while fading it. I suggest you make a live journal and call out all the entries, exists, stops and position sizes and let's see how well you do. I'm pretty sure i know where this will end, especially when...

Exactly :)

Why would we need to default when we can print the interest :) We just need a new trigger to support printing again.

How much of that debt is owed to ourselves? And what hapoens when we default on debt that we owe to ourself?

I think recession (or some new force majeure) is exactly the trigger they need to start lowering rates again. ATM, rising markets don't do any good for a lower inflation. Lowering bond prices at the same time just fuels the investment returns across the board and thus inflation.

I'd rather sell into new highs than wait for a confirmation sell off just to see it trade back up again into my stop to make a double top and what not. 170 is a level that i would assume to have some stop triggering effect. As stops trigger, reversals happen. So, i'm jumping in here. I have...

SELL CHFJPY @ 170 BUY NZDCHF @ 0.5345 The reason for NZDCHF is to get a positive carry with this combo while waiting for the JPY to strengthen. SL's 0.5% on both. RR 1:5. If SL's hit then re entry at same place as original entry. Cheers

yep, due to psychological aspect. Trend traders are more likely to have a fixed stop because the failure is more clear. Contrarians are much more prone to averaging down because "the top (bottom) is imminent"

I know very well that this "strategy" doesn't have any edge. That's why i was curious to see what examples others post ;)

I don't trade like that so i don't have any examples. Curious to see the examples of those who think there's edge in this.

So, i should wait for confirmation, but not too much confirmation?

Wait. So, You mean where he thought my short straddle + short underlying combo don't profit when price trades below my entry price, that this is somehow correct statement? :) Dude...

Do explain

4 losses and new entries again. Same tp,s and sl's So, eurjpy 163,73 Spx 4507 Losses accumulate but RR rises as well. Lets see

Short straddle was for when market stays flat. Short underlying was for market to trade down. I opened the trade when i posted the thread. I posted the prices. My risk was continued upside in that pair. But since my models predicted flatness or down i opened this combo. It was high probability...

How dumb are you? Every time you reply you've been wrong.