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about 10% not 20%. The move from oct-feb into new territory was pretty much on fumes, that's where tech and TSLA got crazy out of nowhere. 3000 for the SP was pretty much fair.

Where did i say that price is moved by the demand side at all ? :sneaky:

aa ok, my bad. I understood differently

If you say so. You are wrongly defining a bubble like the most. You think that nominal rise in prices is what constitutes as a bubble because prices look high on the left side of your computer screen. Take a look at this chart. SP500 vs FTSE100 percent change difference. If US was really in a...

Trump didn't "get" anything. Conditions required liquidity flooding otherwise lending rates would've hit 100% :) Everyone is underestimating the fragileness of the markets. Your 1 tick market moves during normal times is an illusion. That's actually the scariest thing now when the masses...

Tell me something, why are all the commodities (which represent real value, lets leave out gold for now) been crushed down to zero if all of this is inflationary ? Why is the dollar the strongest currency around if this is so inflationary ? why are US government bonds down to zero and people...

Lol, planning for hyperinflation. I'm sorry but do you actually think what comes out of your mouth ? Do you actually understand how prices CAN rise more than "normal"?

at some point yea sure it's possible, but there's a very specific thing that needs to happen first. Inflation don't just come out of thin air.

you know what's different this time ? You all now expect that markets can be pumped up with printed money because you have the "experience of the financial crisis". So, the market is much much more crowded to the upside. Let's see.

I was simply thinking that the patient profile is different and the relative time it takes to handle the patient is much slower in Italy/Spain than in Germany.

Nah, your recovered vs died argument is also not logical. If anything you should look at the "critical stage" figure. Germany has 23 critical cases out of 26000 cases, while spain has almost 1800 critical out of 30000 cases. I'm not sure the total recovered is accurately reported anyway. It's...

We didn't have Instagram influencers opinions.

Yeah, you can't trade before another 45minutes in IB. But i do see differences in quotes: Oanda has a GBPUSD quote at 1,1671 while IG has 1,1724. Interesting, a 40 pip arbitrage even after these high spreads and both are open for trading (should be at least)

Futures price should be lower than cash in backwardation, not the other way around

You need to look at things within context. Is forward earnings beat and constant growth an overvalutation ? Is the decade of techological achievements that is led by the US considered an overvaluation ? Is the success of Apple, google, amazon etc about the sheer fact that the FED printed money ...

That inflation argument was right there in 2009 as well, look how that turned out. Inflation isn't some magical beast that comes out of nowhere. There's certain things the general mass has to engage in collectively to promote higher price level. It's you and I that decide whether there will be...

I guess we'll have to wait and see. In the past weeks it's been pretty accurate giving an open indicaton. And i mean the futures open at GMT+2 (in 1h and 09min from now) not the US open

It’s still correlated. None of those clients move the markets ofc, but it’s the MM bid dropping that matters. It’ll open down, question is will it stay down?

Lol, rally? Dow is 400+ points down as we speak, referring to IG markets weekend prices. Sp500 was at 2900 when FED aggressively cut rates to zero. Stimulus right? Look where we are now.

Someone messing with US numbers again, now its 8100, just moments ago it was 14500