Search results

I tend to agree I.e. the Euro will follow the dollar down, but (news flash) there are other stores of value and means of exchange. And not just the rupee and the Yuan. For example, the Brazilian Real. Yesterday, it took only 2.03 to buy a dollar, not the 4, it took a few years ago. I.e. some...

Compared to exporting Chrysler's metal stamping presses, or even the cars they could make if factory continues to operate, it is much easier to export brains and information. Thus would you elaborate on "US's advantages" I will help out, to get you started: (1) Fertile farm land - good...

Perhaps Buylow's current prediction of a "bull market" and depression are not as far apart as most here seem to think. If a "Bull Market" is defined as a rapidly increasing price (IN DOLLARS) of US stocks and a Depression is defined as negative real growth. (For two quarters etc if you like.)...

I live in Sao Paulo. I may have a copy several years old filed away, if I did not discard last year. Do you want me to look?

Have not carefully read today's Sao Paulo newspaper article, (busy doing my taxes - dam it was a good year) but it seems the air control system will become civilian, no longer run by the airforce.

Who needs experts (when clear thinking, like yours, is available):D Two things (A&B below) I might add: (A )China's demand for raw materials, especially oil, is increasing rapidly the fraction of its production that must be exported to pay for these supplies. They could sell to US and use...

I am well aware that the government can "fudge" the inflation correction. I expect they will to the extent that can be at all "justified" with a straight face. - This because the Social Security entitlements are corrected annual for inflation, and I think those payments will be much harder...

Someone else agrees with Phil & Stocom (and me): 8March 07 comments by David Walker, comptroller general, Government Accountability Office: “Our country is now the world’s largest debtor nation and our mounting debt is undermining* our ability to deal with a range of current and...

Just confirming: Your "Deflating" means making dollars less valuable. - I.e. issuing more T-bills or running the mints presses, etc. -Yes? then I agree, but as not much of a trader (typical buy and hold guy) I have been buying TIPs - (I loaded up on ADRs about five years ago - average up now...

Sorry for delete here - see revised version that got posted instead of edit on other side of BuyLowSell High's reply to early version here while I was editing.

I also expect "stagflation" but point out that the Dow etc are indicies expressed in dollars. I expect that interest rates are going higher, for reasons given in post I just made, but also to attract the needed capital to finance the current and growing deficits. If correct, part of this...

Quite a coherent discussion from one who is “stoned” :D Some what ironic that Big Al noticed now that there may be a problem with mortgages - he inflated this 30 Trillion dollar bubble with his low interest high liquidity policy and then left the consequences to hapless Bernache. (30...

Guess I am lucky - I only get 3 or 4 daily. I think there are some laws about not providing a "remove me from your list" reply that works and if so I would like to see some go to jail - all I can do now is to mark them as spam so my ISP (yahoo) may be able to send some directly to spam file or...

Too late. The oil interests (I.e. GWB and his supporter, including Saudi Royal family's three decades of financing both Bush's campaigns in then oil producing Texas) have already won. Bush is careful to say that the 2020 goal is to reduce GASOLINE consumption by 20%, not OIL consumption...

It would seem to me that the random walk model, which has been confirmed by several studies seems to apply to most stocks if one is not concerned with short term variations. Charts seldom predict 6 or more months into the future. It also seems true to me that if a significant fraction of...

Yes, I am new here (< three months) and not very active here and do not have time to be so. Please tell how I can efficiently find my prior posts, if that is possible. Thanks. You did not comment on my point (Markets at all time highs due in large part to declining value of dollar. - I.e. A...

Better still: Don't quote. Get facts, think and explain what you think they mean. For example the first post of this thread (several times commented upon) is a pre-2007 prediction of rapid fall (profit taking) in the markets that others have pointedly noted has not yet happened. (New highs...

They are not waiting on Fed, but doing so already. For example, yesterday 2 billion dollars was moved into bonds of ICICI, bank of India. that is more than all the funds transferred in all of 2006 to India and one of the largest bonds ever floated by any bank anywhere. A few weeks ago, same...

Possibly, but not for long. To finance debt, foreigners will demand higher rates before long. This can feed on itself as the US economy suffers from higher rates and the attractiveness of dollar investment falls even more. For last few months, holders of Treasury Paper have had a negative...

Part of the answer to threads question: NYSE, etc. may NOT be at all time high as its value is given by the number of dollars required to buy the shares included in the index. If each dollar is worth less, then the index is going to be higher, even if the total value of the shares in it (say...