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    The APPLE Crash

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    The APPLE Crash

    Feb. 13, 2012, 9:09 a.m. EST Apple plants to be audited at firm's request By Mia Lamar Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) has requested a non-profit labor association audit conditions at its final assembly suppliers, including a Chinese facility that suffered a spate of employee suicides in 2010...
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    The APPLE Crash

    I don't see anything unusual or scary about AAPL's latest move. Since March 2009 it's been doing the same thing over and over: A breakout rally lasting a few months, then several months of sideways consolidation. A classic "earnings announcement" long grinding uptrend. A rest period in the...
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    The APPLE Crash

    The 2009-20012 uptrend looks more reasonable and less "parabolic" when the years (horizontal axis) aren't so close together. See the attached weekly chart. I've personally bet (via Vertical Credit Spreads) on AAPL closing at 500 or above on 10/19/12, and plan to buy a new iPad with the...
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    AAPL's current momentum, fundamentals

    More details on AAPL splits here: http://investor.apple.com/faq.cfm?FaqSetID=2
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    BAC next stop 9 or 5?

    On the attached chart I see the bottom at 4.92, then higher lows on receding volume (bullish sign) at 5.27 and 6.41. The previous downtrend (lower highs) was broken when BAC went above 5.95 and through its 50 day MA on huge volume early this month. Support seems to be forming around 7.0 at...
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    Yamana Gold (AUY)

    Good point. Its 2 steps forward, 1 step back zig-zag pattern looks perfect for swing trades.
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    Yamana Gold (AUY)

    A pretty neurotic, jagged ride to be sure. [see attached chart] The trend is certainly up, but only going from 7 to 17 in 3 years isn't great. I jumped on board at 15.66 though, thinking it might be ready for a move to 20+. We'll see.
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    LEN and KBH - The House that love built

    For whatever it may be worth, I recently took on a small Long position in LEN (via a Bull Put Vertical Option Spread) at 22.05, betting it will make 23.00 or higher by 8/17/12. All the News says the property market is terrible, but LEN looks like it's been in a solid 3 year uptrend to me...
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    Could RIMM have bottomed? - Amazon interested in RIMM

    So far there's been some short-covering in RIMM since 12/20/11 (see attached chart). Is it a Bear Flag we should be shorting, or is the downtrend finished with a bottom found at 12.45? I think I'll go with the Trend. Why can't it go down to 10?
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    Going SHORT on AAPL at 379.19 12/15

    Trends are no guarantee of course, they just increase your probabilities for success. Still, I've yet to find anything else nearly as reliable to base my bets on. But don't forget to honor your Sell-Stop, because the Market Can Do Anything!!!
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    Going SHORT on AAPL at 379.19 12/15

    I agree with wiesman02. "The Trend Is Your Friend", and the AAPL uptrend is still in good shape (see attached chart). I went long AAPL on 12/29/11 at 404.37. As long as the trend is up, and AAPL's Weekly Prices stay above the 200 day Moving Average, I'll stick with it. The chart tells where...
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    Golly Gee, Look at CREE!

    Anyone buying Puts or doing Bear Spreads on CREE?
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    Greeks Are For Geeks?

    spindr0: Thanks for the example. I copied the article also, and will check it out. cactiman
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    Greeks Are For Geeks?

    Here are some quotes from "Using 'The Greeks' To Understand Options" by Jim Grahm: "Trying to predict what will happen to the price of a single option or a position involving multiple options as the market changes can be a difficult undertaking. Because the option price does not always appear...
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    FYI - RIMM December 15 - Earnings

    Dec. 15, 2011, 5:49 p.m. EST RIM chiefs still digging in their heels Commentary: Salary cut not likely to appease investors By MarketWatch SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) Ñ The embattled co-chief executives of Research In Motion Ltd. are unlikely to appease angry investors by taking a salary...
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    FYI - RIMM December 15 - Earnings

    Opened February Bear Call 16/17 Credit Spread on 11/28/11, when RIMM was at 16.42. It still needs to Close below 16.00 on 02/17/12, but probabilities really favor that now. Last after hours quote: RIMM at 13.98
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    Rimm

    I prefer to avoid playing earnings reports if possible - too much of a coin toss. But RIMMs report date was announced after I had already set up a Bear Call Credit Spread on 11/28/11, and things still seem very negative for the company. Decided to let them flip the coin, rather than close the...
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    Rimm

    Dec. 15, 2011, 4:23 p.m. EST RIM earnings fall; forecast below Street targets SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Research In Motion Ltd. reported a sharp drop in earnings for its third fiscal quarter, and issued a forecast for the current period that was well below Wall Street's expectations. For...
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