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This week the portfolio came in under the benchmark Collapsing the detailed trades for 3+ weeks in the past to save screen space Corrected portfolio return for the week of 11/4. Should have been 0.4% None of my posts represent an investment advice, and are provided for entertainment purposes only

Like last week, I will be rotating the positions before 4pm today, rather than sitting out the weekend. Although the US stock market is at the all-time high, I think that the signs that the global growth has bottomed out are not fully priced in, and S&P500 will continue its winning streak next...

Here is the score for last week, and the entry leg for the next week, since I re-entered on Friday. Last week's portfolio return was 0.63%, compared to the benchmark's 0.85%. Note - I corrected the benchmark calculation for weeks starting 10/21 and 10/28 in that I set the entry price equal to...

Doing something different this week – will rotate my positions this afternoon, rather closing out for the weekend. With yields rising, expecting USD to continue firming up: UUP With an uptick in manufacturing, expressing cautious optimism over US economy through the Value ETF SLYV and consumer...

Can you please explain how you came up with this? I re-read my statement five times, but I don't see such an implication. It certainly was not intended. As far as the time horizon of the trades, please see my post to Times on 10/27. As far as Monday and Friday specifically - the randomness you...

Hello Remogul My benchmark is S&P500, as I said in the original post. Is that what you were asking? Or were you asking how am I calculating its returns?

This week's trade finished positive, but fell short of the benchmark. Next week's trades are: VWO and XLI: full set of global PMIs will be released Monday; expecting production numbers to start to turn globally and in the US. Here's the score to date: None of my posts represent an investment...

Thank you remogul for your note and thought-provoking questions. Let's say my view is: X will do Y next week. If the good news wasn't good enough for X to do Y, my view was wrong, simple as that. Another facet to this - if X indeed does Y, did I pick the right vehicle to monetize such a move...

Are you referring to price action as in technical analysis? In that case, no, TA is not my forte. By "playing out" I meant for the anticipated events to run their course and to be reflected in the markets over the upcoming week. Resources: Primarily Flash PMI and Economic Data Releases...

Thanks for following! Please see the note I just sent to Times on here. 1 week is part of the "view".

Thanks for reading, this is a great question. For this portfolio, the views I act upon have about a week to play out in my opinion. Such timing is intrinsically part of formulating my views and drives the trades. This is what I meant by "short-term" in my original post. If I am able to meet my...

So I started a portfolio that reflects my short-term view of how recent macro news and data will affect the markets in the upcoming week. The portfolio will initially operate under the following constraints: - the view will be monetized through ETFs (usually 1-3 ETFs per week) - trades will be...