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    How to judge a system ?

    Also, use the drawdown as a measure of risk. Alex
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    How to judge a system ?

    Ideally you'd need at least 1000 trades in backtest to make result statistically valid.
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    The market is random

    try this: market are not random because price distribution shows leptokurtosis = fat tails = trends. Randomness doesn't (not in the same way, at least)
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    Win 7 64 bit first impressions

    thx for the inputs guys!
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    Is this profitable... I am confused

    mmmm... I'm afraid I'm gonna have bad news. :( Could you upload a pic of the complete results sheet?
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    Prop firm that uses Interactive Brokers?

    not that I know of, but some very small asset manager I know do
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    Does a winning strategy have to work in all markets ?

    Answer to thread starter : OF COURSE NOT! There are gazzilions of resons why, but here are 2: 1) "All markets" would mean "all timeframes". 2) Many markets aren't formed the same way. i.e. equities have a bullish long term bias while rate markets dont
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    German Oct. jobless numbers fall 26,000

    LOL which would do... +/-160 euros a month? Germany is no developping country, you know?
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    Positive Expenctancy Trading Systems In Efficent Markets- No timing

    "no timing" (random entries)systems have been tested for decades, they never failed to desappoint. never!
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    Do markets change? Trend Following.

    Might become an interesting thread. i'll jump in if there is some debate
  11. A

    Biggest Trading Mistakes

    forgeting to pull some orders from the platform and leaving the desk...
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    Psychology, are you sure?

    well, I'd buy Perry Kaufman's books (New trading systems and methods and Smarter Trading) and start using tradestation...
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    Psychology, are you sure?

    that was well put Travis, sorry to read this so late!
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    why do people laugh when I mention day trading?

    very strange thread. None of us here at the office (we're not hundreds) ever got laughed at.
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    Is there any value in these message boards from a trader's perspective?

    without message boards, most of us wouldn't even be aware of the possibility of short term trading...
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    you know its true what they say, Stocks are easier than FX

    As always, it's a matter of time frame and methodology. Some longer term trend folowing methods are very successful on some pairs. But very noisy in shorter time periods indeed
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    Random?Really?

    I know this has been discussed many times, but here is another, clear and simple input: A) find a winning strategy (trend following is perfect here) B) invert all signals (go short when the system tells you to go long, and opposite) --> results are crap. So much for the random theory.
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    best trend confirmation indicators

    best trend confirmation tool = break of an extra S/R zone.
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    Former Deutsche Derivatives Executive Starts Correlation Fund

    interesting, though...
  20. A

    If You Will Never Make Money, When Will You Quit?

    People stop when they find another (as expensive?) passion or realize success requires a awful lot of work.
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