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  1. kut2k2

    TA does work because ...

    As my previous post demonstrates, I was wrong. There is some disclosed TA that works. Why naysayers are busy ignoring it is a mystery. Must be psychological.
  2. kut2k2

    TA does work because ...

    http://www.elitetrader.com/et/index.php?threads/just-show-me-one-mechanical-technical-analysis-that-has-been-profitably-backtested.147576/page-5#post-2218032
  3. kut2k2

    Jim Simons Trashes Trend Following

    Evidently appeals to authority don't work in surf's world, unless HE is the one appealing to an authority (Jim Simons). :D :D
  4. kut2k2

    Why does anyone take technical analysis seriously?

    What we have here is another troll thread where the OP posts once in a provocative manner to get a flamewar started then never posts again. A real questioner would have responded to some of his replies by now. Screw this guy.
  5. kut2k2

    Why does anyone take technical analysis seriously?

    Because when done right, it works. http://www.elitetrader.com/et/index.php?threads/just-show-me-one-mechanical-technical-analysis-that-has-been-profitably-backtested.147576/page-5#post-2218032
  6. kut2k2

    Why does anyone take technical analysis seriously?

    Excellent analogy. Surf is like a person who lives in a strange land where the sky is always cloudy whenever the moon is in the sky, so he's never seen the moon. Consequently he doesn't believe in the moon. But he is also ignorant of lunar tides, which is evidence of the moon even when it's...
  7. kut2k2

    Why does anyone take technical analysis seriously?

    Chemistry became a science when certain alchemists decided to throw away the parts of alchemy that didn't make sense and to include only new knowledge that made sense. Technical analysis is not a science because it never throws anything away. It's become a form of information hoarding. With...
  8. kut2k2

    Collection of the most stupid trading advice ever

    KISS "Keep it simple, stupid." Often a good idea, sometimes a stupid idea. Very stupid. Complexity exists for a reason. KISS is good for a trading metastrategy. Doesn't get any simpler than "trade with the trend". But implementing an idea can become complicated if done properly. Applying...
  9. kut2k2

    Trend Following Is Not Predicting

    Not logically. The evidence for the success of trend following is vastly larger than the evidence for the success of DFT. For starters, TF isn't a single strategy, it is a multitude of strategies, some of which have never worked well or never worked at all. But the declaration that TF doesn't...
  10. kut2k2

    Trend Following Is Not Predicting

    LOL. Ehlers and his fans crack me up. If Fourier analysis or FFT or DFT was the key to the markets, DSP experts would all be rich.
  11. kut2k2

    Do serial killers have death wishes?

    Man, LAW & ORDER has milked this case to the max. The season premiere of SVU is a total ripoff of the Durst case, including dismemberment, cross-dressing (they *LOVE* the cross-dressing :D ), stupid shoplifting and even an off-camera confession, just like in the documentary. They should be...
  12. kut2k2

    Ranking stocks

    http://www.elitetrader.com/et/index.php?threads/stock-model.224621/
  13. kut2k2

    Ranking stocks

    You can use virtually any technical indicator or virtually any combination of technical indicators to rank stocks but of course the technical indicator(s) selected have to make sense to you. I looked at the make-up of sctr and it appears to be pretty arbitrary, so it's not for me, but...
  14. kut2k2

    "Jim Simons is Correct About Trend-Following"

    I love this quote from Simons (repeated in the Harris article): “Trend-following would have been great in the ’60s, and it was sort of OK in the ’70s. By the ’80s, it wasn’t.” Ahem. The '80s is precisely when the now-most-famous trend-following system -- the Turtle Trading System --- came...
  15. kut2k2

    "Jim Simons is Correct About Trend-Following"

    Dumbest definition of TF ever (from the Harris article): "Trend-following is a trading method that produces an average gain much larger than the average loss." Wow. That's just weird. And here I thought the name said it all: trend following is any trading plan based on following (trading...
  16. kut2k2

    "Jim Simons is Correct About Trend-Following"

    Dumbest MH article ever. His simple-minded SAR analyses didn't prove jack, because only imbeciles expect SAR to be long-term profitable. LOL This has nothing to do with the TF that works.
  17. kut2k2

    Creating Custom Indicators

    Do you mean creating and selling them? Probably true, especially since it sounds like he didn't create them, he got them from a website. FX message boards are overflowing with worthless "custom" indicators.
  18. kut2k2

    How far will Volkswagen shares fall and is it worth already buying some?

    I don't miss those disgusting horny-old-women ads at all.
  19. kut2k2

    Trend Following Is Not Predicting

    People are incompetent at finding the current trend because they often find chop instead. Sure, strictly speaking, they can the trend when it exists but if they're also finding "trend" where none exists, that effectively means they're incompetent at finding the trend. Not being able to...
  20. kut2k2

    Trend Following Is Not Predicting

    As my response to bashatrader above demonstrates, predicting aka forecasting is about future events, whereas trend following is about current events. Why this is so confusing to people is incredible to me. All trend following says is that if you trade with the current trend, you will profit...
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