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Other ideas brought to the subject thus far are : 1. A. money management, -an art of keep you in the game longer B. averaging down, -has no edge if you do not know where price is going C. varying position sizing - has no edge if you do not know when you will be right. D. adding...

I am starting to think that traders feels they have failed because they think that they are building ideas on top of other ideas and adding it all up. Worst case scenario, they think is that they have a 1% advantage. but its all just a pile up of garbage. Why would you say that I may be...

It is interesting how if I use the word predict 90% of people will jump in and say that you cant predict but use words like guess or feel and suddenly guessing is allowed cause one assumes it is based on something that has an edge. Likewise, the word "edge" is not only accepted but...

Yes I know we covered it, and you brought us back to guessing, so we are at square one.

To break even on a toss is to bet heads all the time as long as there is no fees. So now we are left with "guessing". Guessing means that the out come is unknown.

Yes there are 2 other systems that can be implemented though. 1. Don't bet. 2. Blindly Compound Bet What you are willing to loose once every 10-30 years.

We have not looked at draw downs and such. For now Money management has been limited to R:R ratios and win rate. To differentiate, Ill call this R:R WRate. Changing R:R inversely changes WRate the relationship is such that playing with the numbers LEADS TO THE SAME END RESULTS over many...

what does a gambler think like ?

I bet your Canadian dollar would get you alot further if you were in Canada then being in the USA. The extractor seems has only generated 40$ ? Was this in a week? I am wondering if part of the cost of the electricity could be subtracted from my heating bill ? Maybe space things out a...

Its long and complex and has those Z type symbols, he must know his stuff. To top it off, it is was presented in Canada. It is a bit hard for me test the idea from my igloo. I just have one question, around page 10 or 20 we see that .5 becomes 0.51. Being mathematically stupid, I wonder...

Have you decided to no longer use the formulae?

I guess its a bit quite to be overly baffled.

The bad Kelly.

To understand the bidding process one needs to look at it as a whole. Fragmented ideas that lack obviousness as of no use. Look, when I go to a store to buy some thing I am greeted at the door with air-conditioning and a carpet. I am offered a low price on things that people do not want...

I'm a bit slow to read, so maybe I missed the answer, if there are many answers then that is better ! It really is amazing that so much information is given and in such details. There are few places one can go and learn so much on a topic. By looking at many traders posts one can put together...

Putting aside that the Kelly was actually developed to clean up static on phone lines and not trading. I vote for the original Kelly as it makes more sense in the long run in the real world of trading.

To amplify your intuition, stop limiting your intuition. Once this is done your intuition has maxed out. But one can still amplify their profits through leverage. I did not get to read about the eeg machine.I guess that will do too

Im not sure of the math behind regression, But I have this regression line and regression channel drawing on TOS. I can confirm that price always goes towards the line. Its just too bad that the line goes towards price :( . If you don't have a regression tool you can always use a moving average...

The goal of a secret is to be contained. Yet a secret cant be a secret if its existence is not known. However did you come across such people in such a big sea of traders ?

I'll put in the 10,000 hours and report back to you if you cover my fees and pay me every time I accidentally open my spam folder. Oh yeah.. and food, I need some food Is there a day trading food delivery programs ?