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  1. M

    The Short Report

    Sure she did. It was 2002 sometime over the summer. The market was encountering a classic crescendo bottom and only 92 stocks on the entire Nasdaq composite were traveling over their 50 day moving average. The news on CNBC was bad and it just got worse everyday. Everyone was shorting...
  2. M

    Go back to school or continue trading

    Actually, the $500 estimate for beer is very conservative. Most single guys like to go out and you could easily spend $50 or more in one night. Lets say you go out 3 nights a week then $150 a week is not unimaginable. If you are dating or trying your hand in a relationship, then you might...
  3. M

    The Short Report

    The Real $SPX The $SPX is a weighted index. Exxon is lifting the $SPX to a new all-time high, while the rest of the components is busting through the traps. Lets take a look at the real picture if the SPX was equally weighted. The below chart is of the equally weighted Rydex index...
  4. M

    The Short Report

    It appears that we are at a point in the indexes where value might be thrown into the trash. In 1998, when growth stocks were on fire, insurance stocks started burning in. One stock in particular, All-State, is worth mentioning here. This stock has participated in none of this years rallies...
  5. M

    The Short Report

    Here is my featured short. Actually, this year, I have found myself buying puts rather then shorting the common stock. The simple reason is that you can only lose the amount you have invested by buying puts where as you can lose more then you invested by going short. Puts also have a much...
  6. M

    The Short Report

    https://flagship.vanguard.com/VGApp/hnw/funds/snapshot?FundId=0970&FundIntExt=INT Wow! The market is up more then 11% since the start of the year, but the margin debt is up at least double that (possibly triple). I have a feeling that the height of margin debt will be 426 in 2007...
  7. M

    The Short Report

    Here is the good old Nasdaq. The COMPQ is still very much the wild west among the indexes. Look at how one month where 70% of the index is moving up as if peace has invaded the world and everyone has figured out how to finally work together. Then 3 months, later a resounding 15% are moving up...
  8. M

    The Short Report

    Saturday, July 14th, 2007 When I turned on CNBC on Friday, it almost seemed like a stadium in a Latin country just after the home team won the soccer game. So much joy, so much positive energy. It reminded me of the times of March 2000 where CNBC seemed like one huge party. Then when I...
  9. M

    Did the S&P500 really bust through the triple top on Friday?

    The best S&P500 index over the last few years to be in has not been the SPY. Its actually been the RSP. This is an "equal weight" etf where all elements of the SPY are equally weighted instead of being assigned different weights. If the truth be known, then the smaller components of the...
  10. M

    Im coming out of the closet...

    Its not popular having the Napoleon complex and being short. In fact, there are high emotions of the crowd ready to dump piss and vinegar on you when you are short. The simple facts are that: - stocks tend to fall faster then they rise. months of gains are wiped out in a day, days or...
  11. M

    I'm down big time today.

    You cant win on elitetrader. First, everyone loves to read about everyone else losing large amounts of money. You have guys like stocktrader on the sidelines that live for posts like this and enjoy rubbing salt into the wounds of those who have lost out big. Second, you have guys like...
  12. M

    I declare that it is now time to trade Solar: CSUN

    Where is my little b*tch holygrail? Looks like when you opened your mouth about CSUN, it went up 10%. I do see CSUN being a 23 dollar stock in the future. However, I dont recommend buying&holding, but trading. This isnt an investment website but one about trading pure and simple. The...
  13. M

    Amzn

    By November 1st, Amazon will be trading at above 100 and possibly double where it is right now...
  14. M

    Amzn

    Ok. I will set aside the immaturity for a few minutes and discuss the fundamentals. Here is my thesis: 1) General market conditions- Nasdaq-100 index is flying higher. Its a growth index and growth is favored in the late stages of the business cycle. Amazon is a growth stock in the...
  15. M

    Today is Friday the 13th

    How we doing fellas? Here is the scoreboard that I use to get a good general feel for whats up. NYSE NASDAQ Advances 1,404 (43%) 1,234 (40%) Declines 1,742 (53%) 1,702 (55%) Unchanged 118 (4%) 145 (5%) Up Vol* 761 (51%) 493 (46%) Down Vol* 723 (48%) 514 (49%) Unch...
  16. M

    United States Oil Fund (USO)

    Today is the key point with USO. One of my energy models has oil going to over 100 dollars per barrel in the times to come.
  17. M

    Big market correction about to occur

    When you have price reaching a right peak, then some of the time there will be buyers waiting right above the peak ready to buy. The reason for the advance over such a right peak is usually short covering. For example, IBM. Price reaches the right peak and then real buyers take the wand from...
  18. M

    Shorting Radioshack (RSH)

    All the replies on this list I cant see, these posters have earned a spot on my ignore list. Keep posting away, but I wont see it. Time for you to get some new nicknames and then I might actually give your posts the consideration of being read. As for Radioshack, it continues to mull...
  19. M

    I declare that it is now time to trade Solar: CSUN

    I increased my position this morning when the analyst came out with the hold on CSUN. I spun around to monitor other stocks at my turret and then spun around to see this thing getting whacked up 7%. This is why I love (but sometimes hate) solar stocks. They are such great volatility vehicles...
  20. M

    Shorting Radioshack (RSH)

    I have been nervous about this Radioshack short for a while now.Ive been short since 34 dollars. It has slowly and nervously grinded lower these last few days. Yesterday, it kind of bounced a bit and I was honestly thinking of covering. However, I know the truth about RadioShack. Radioshack...
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