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I agree. But N is next crop. Actually it may even work better given their current values and their influence on future acreage...

I am just using Seasonalgo to chart those spreads( daily ). And I enter them using TT. I used to use Barchart but not anymore.

3 ladders of exchange spreads : 1F/G,-2G/H,1H/J

I just went long the NG F-3*G+3*H-J double butterfly @ -0.210. - The F/G in this overbullish environment seems underbought. - The last time it traded at this price was in fall '00. My stop is far though. It can go really wild near expiration.

Just exited 3/4 @ -15.5. Free fall in historical no man's land.:cool:

I would say it is because of stocks and current pace of exports of SRW vs HRW, but it should come back to normal later. Funny you bring this because I actually bought KWK19-WK19 this morning @ 2.5. - Higher protein wheat should be in demand in the winter and spring when Russia is exhausted -...

Out @ -1.32. Nice long term trade.

Long NY cocoa U/Z19 @ -2. - The back of the curve has shifted drastically to an inversion in the last month. Commercials must be thinking 19/20 S§D will be much tighter. Didn't find anything in the news though. -Seasonals

...( insert ironic song here )...

Converted my ZO Z/H short in a fly Z/H/K @ 8.75.

I don't subscribe to any special news service. I just read available free articles : Platts, reuters, bloomberg...Platts free podcasts and pdfs are interesting.

Out @ -10.75 because of the big double top. Good trade though.

Out @ -40 GBP. Too much uncertainty around expiration. OK profit.

Yes. Thank you. I don't use a chart analysis software these days. I just use TT and seasonalgo. I need to get a software like prophet X or esignal to compare assets in different currencies. What would you do? hold until near expiration in 2 weeks or not?

Hello, can someone share a chart of the Dec18 London cocoa / NY cocoa spread in USD or GBP please?

The brent/WTI is quite rich right now. There are some seasonal trades shorting brent/ long WTI with good historical performances. But the fundamental picture doesn't support it IMO : Iranian sanctions, saudi incertainties( ...) are mainly putting an upward risk on brent while new pipelines in...

Out @ 0.12. Not much, especially after commissions.

Short ZO Z/H @ 8.4. - The level is almost as high as 2013 when S&D was much tighter. - It's forming a head and shoulders formation. - There have been good weather in Canada and the harvest is almost wrapped up. The harvest problems that caused the spike up have alleviated.

Went long a ZM +Z-3*H+3*N-V double butterfly @ -2 . A combo of every under/overvalued parts of the ZM19 curve, which is giving this current awkward shape.

Long RBH19/HOH19 @ -0.3720. - The current market where gasoline seems to be the byproduct of distillates won't last. - Low level. -Seasonality.