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Who the fuck cares? The point of this place is to debate and shoot the breeze. The "playground justice" shit is ridiculous and boring.

Obviously, if everyone who ever made a wrong call left this board it would be empty. Stick around, Pabst. I'll buy you a Keystone. :D

Yeah, sounds good. Maybe parabolic arch.

Small cap indices are up almost 2% today.

Absolutely, and on top of that...all of these institutional managers who have been holding back waiting for a correction - when they finally come in and buy we could get a heck of a pop. And they're going to buy the current winners - the stocks that are looking strong already.

Since their positive earnings release in early September, the stock has formed a sort of half-arch shape and it's rallied off the top of the arch today (10/3). I've often seen stocks rally off of that half-arch shape and, when they do, they seem to rally strongly. I'd look for something else...

Large caps have begun to reassert themselves vs small caps so I'm not too concerned about the relative underperformance of small caps right now. The chart here is Russell 1k vs Russell 2k. We rallied through rate hikes that took rates higher from close to zero. Until recently, real rates...

I agree on all points. The 1999 headline was just to say we're in a bull market rally.

I'm not saying they ARE going to cut this year. I'm saying the market perception has made an important shift away from fear of tightening to entertaining the possibility of cuts. That's a huge shift in psychology and it's being hammered home by the selloff in oil.

Several indexes are rallying off key support levels after a modest 2 day downturn. The selloff in commodities, most obviously oil, is going to swamp whatever technical indicators have been pointing to a stock pullback. The Fed has already stopped raising rates and the drop in oil is further...

krazykarl, I don't mean to sound like your mom but, up 'til now, you've been a reasonable bull voice on the forums - one of the good guys. Your last couple of replies on this thread are out of character for you and not in a good way. Further, regarding the "PPT", yes, there are some...

Who's Zanger?

Just before I posted this, I was actually bearish and trying to convince myself that the market was too. But then I tried to honestly, without any long/short bias, look at what the market action was telling us and how the market reacted to news items. I felt that it was wishful thinking on...

Straight up 9+ % in 2 1/2 months. Barely a cloud on the horizon, according to the the press and the street. I'm all for just riding along with a bull market but this is starting to seem weird. It reminds a bit of some of the springtime rallies during the late '90's when a half a dozen...

Yes, I discovered a holy grail. It was flawless and was working really well...until my dog started telling me to kill prostitutes.

Yeah, if the 10 year does go to the 4.3 area and the Fed doesn't start cutting rates we're back to an inversion like we had in 2000. And 2000 through '02 was not very pleasant for the economy. :eek:

That's a good point about the valuation of buildable lots, although I think it's unlikely that they will be assessed low enough to really crush the book value for these companies. It will be interesting to see how that ultimately plays out but, yes, I'd be looking elsewhere for short ideas and...

So you're saying they're all going to trade far below book value?

What say you?

Of course it's possible they could go lower. My main point is - why short something that's already so beaten up? Find something that's breaking down now and short that. Most of the short money's already been made in housing stocks. Why make things tougher than need be? TOL - book value...