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Any particular reason you are picking one segment from the entire curve and projecting it will continue in a linear fashion? If you are having trouble plotting a curve, use a logarithmic chart. Then you can stick with your straight line projections. -Raystonn

I would say that half the market holding any position over the weekend (as measured per contract) will be holding long positions. It's a zero sum market (without the fees) after all... -Raystonn

*sigh* Interest rates are quoted as annual, not daily. If you kept that $5100 loan for a year they'd charge you the amount you indicated. -Raystonn

A common fallacy... -Raystonn

How does your sim properly simulate the filling of limit orders. (You are using limit orders in your attempt to scalp a single tick, right?) -Raystonn

I suggest you check your math. I am surprised noone else did. Recompute your quarterly revenue figure for Schwab. You used this figure to support the rest of your post. -Raystonn

I have had nine consecutive profitable weeks in equity index futures. The end result was $16,392.00 per contract in profits. It occurred from the week of 8/6/2006 through the week of 10/1/2006. However, this was merely an outlier, not the norm. The system is very profitable, but usually...

If you don't know if this is normal, then you haven't backtested your strategy. If that's the case, then you most definately shouldn't be trading it. You should know what to expect before you begin. -Raystonn

The money was won by him though, not the trust. If there are any pending judgements against him then they will need to be satisfied before any judge would allow the trust. -Raystonn

This is actually a windfall for all of his victims. They will now be able to sue him for pain and suffering and get something substantial. -Raystonn

http://www.ckdhr.com/hrose/songs/its_the_end.html -Raystonn

I am not going to vouch for the original poster. However, check your decimal points. -Raystonn

Perhaps. But when is the last time you heard of a mortgage company making a margin call? It's not possible to be forced to sell your home because of the housing market. A forced sale would have to be due to some other condition. And until you sell, the housing market doesn't affect you one...

If you think all setups work, and that the problem is just your discipline in following them, then you aren't testing thoroughly enough. Most setups seem to work well for a while, but they are only setting you up for the big loss that occurs 10% of the time. This loss exceeds all gains...

Just thought I'd point out the following. This quote is from your link: (113.06 - 43.00) / 113.06 = approximately 0.61967 Fibonacci strikes again... -Raystonn

Why pay the premium in commissions if you are never going to trade at $300 margins? That's just a waste of money. If you do plan on trading $300 margins, then I'd love to see your risk and money management. -Raystonn

My question to you (do I presume you are not among those who made serious money last year?) Why do you insist this is a questionable market and that those who made serious money last year do not understand what is "making things move?" -Raystonn

The only way you can have this: And still think this: Is when you have this: Your current position is blinding you to reality. You should have sold quite some time ago. If you wouldn't buy it today, you shouldn't hold it. (And if you wouldn't sell it today, you shouldn't hold a...

Part of the strategy is position sizing. So you must back-test exactly as you would have sized your positions had you been trading it in real time. Many people leave position sizing up to their own discretion. This usually leads to blow outs as size is increased in a series of revenge trades...

The winner of such a contest would undoubtedly be someone who simply risked a great deal (too much) and got lucky. Consistency is the measure of a good trader. You would need quite a few data points for the results to be worth anything. It would require a contest spanning years. Anything...