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  1. Trader13

    trading futures

    The biggest problem with this approach is that you won't react quickly enough to open a new hedge (in your example, going short a contract) in a fast moving or gapping market. You need to have your hedge solution already in place as part of your opening position. Of course, this approach has...
  2. Trader13

    Y Charts

    Please post an example of a Y chart.
  3. Trader13

    Upgrading RAM from 4GB to 8GB

    Suggest you look more closely into why your screen locks up for a minute or 2. That's a pretty serious hang up! Throwing more hardware at it is generally a last resort. Check processes running in the Task Manager. Also, I recall that HP used to load a lot of 3rd-party bloatware on their new...
  4. Trader13

    What kind of workstation to buy? (Dell, HP,...please help a non computer guy)

    For laptops, what's the difference between a Dell Precision and a Latitude? I thought the Latitude was their "business class" brand.
  5. Trader13

    Hedging

    Hedging can be done across a range of risk, so you have to be specific about how much risk you're attempting to offset with the hedge. If you are buying ATM or ITM puts, then you are hedging away virtually all of the downside risk, but at the very high cost of the hedge which makes this a poor...
  6. Trader13

    What kind of workstation to buy? (Dell, HP,...please help a non computer guy)

    I would look at the warranty service arrangements. If you need service, do they offer phone support? Do you have to mail-in the unit, or carry-in the unit to a nearby store, or will they come to your site? It's these service arrangements that can be a major differentiator. Most everything...
  7. Trader13

    Forum software?

    But where do you get the fresh setup from on short notice? Do you keep a spare server on-hand?
  8. Trader13

    Forum software?

    Sounds like the database server is a single point of failure, a common issue for most configurations. What is your recovery plan if you lose the database server for any reason? Just curious because I encounter this question regularly when planning for high availability.
  9. Trader13

    Who would post a bid or ask of 650+ gold fut contracts? And why?

    If you think of gold as an FX currency rather than a metal, it opens up a different category of trading strategies.
  10. Trader13

    buying VIX calls here

    I think the March VIX contract can easily hit the low 20's if we see a selloff in Jan as profits are booked into the next tax year.
  11. Trader13

    What is the point of doing a Calendar Spread?

    Be sure to understand Horizontal Skew (Time Skew) if you trade calendar option spreads.
  12. Trader13

    buying VIX calls here

    In any case, buying ITM March calls or futures is a good trade. I expect VIX will get a nice bump in Jan with profit-taking on stocks that typically occurs after a strong bull market.
  13. Trader13

    buying VIX calls here

    The VIX complex is confusing. Just to help bring some clarity to this, how much did you pay for these calls? What was the delta of the call?
  14. Trader13

    buying VIX calls here

    Calls on which VIX instrument? Doesn't the DEC contract expire today?
  15. Trader13

    Futures Spreads Vs. Options Spreads

    One of the big differences is that a futures calendar spread is not related to the absolute price level, since the futures curve can shift up/down in parallel fashion and the value of the spread can remain unchanged (assuming the curvature/twist of the curve does not change). By comparison...
  16. Trader13

    Using Statistics To Gain An Edge

    Tick millisecond data over 20 years ... I'm not sure if that's very ambitious, or just crazy :) Anyway, for stocks I bet you'll discover two regime/structural changes. One in the late 90's as ETF indexing caused an increase in the correlation of stocks, and a second shortly afterwards as HFT...
  17. Trader13

    Using Statistics To Gain An Edge

    This type of research has already been covered exhaustively. Are you working on a new angle?
  18. Trader13

    Using Statistics To Gain An Edge

    Easylanguage programming for very complex indicators (that I looked at many years ago). You would have to be a Tradestation brokerage customer to be aware of this.
  19. Trader13

    Using Statistics To Gain An Edge

    I am aware that retail FX is a honeypot for many vendors, quite true! But my question to TRO still stands. I don't know anything about TRO's track record in trading, but he is legendary as a programmer. If probability distributions for other markets besides FX show a skew in the...
  20. Trader13

    Using Statistics To Gain An Edge

    Have you looked at probability distributions for markets other than FX, or is there something about the currency markets that make them distinctive?
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