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  1. efficiency

    Who are the "Big Boys" (Traders) in the S&P

    Susquehanna Intl.
  2. efficiency

    The bears were wrong

    Foremost, why did you start such a topic in a psychology forum? I always have both long and short positions. That doesn't make me a perennial anything. I'm not interested in being right or wrong. Those adjectives are the results of my endeavors (and errors) in striving to extract profit.
  3. efficiency

    The bears were wrong

    It's in "psychology" because it involves denial, delusions of grandeur, and tunnel vision. This may eventually be the mother of all tops. There has been NO day since 2003 when the S&P has moved 2% in either direction. The quiet before the storm. Rising wedge is a fairly reliable pattern...
  4. efficiency

    worlds greatest investor does not use fancy tools

    Buying and holding McDonalds, Coca-Cola and Disney forever is only the stuff dreams are made of. It helps to have sweetheard deals such as convertibles in Salomon Brothers or Level 3. Sitting on boards, such as Washington Post doesn't hurt either. He's lost money before, US Air and...
  5. efficiency

    USA Economy is strong ?

    In 2001 the government changed horses in midstream by switching from reporting GNP to GDP. Gee, I wonder why. In March of next year they will cease "computing" M3. Gee, I wonder why. Secretary of the Treasury Paul O'Neil resigned and replaced by John Snow. Gee, I wonder why...
  6. efficiency

    Thank you Cramer! = Bottom

    Pike Electric? It's been public all of (3) months and in that "short" span, two insiders each sold $70 million at $14 of a stock that's now at $18. Cramer's a shill
  7. efficiency

    Referral Paradox

    Safety in numbers..........the herd instinct.
  8. efficiency

    shorting UTSI - SEC investigation

    Never have to pay taxes? LOL
  9. efficiency

    Blood on the Streets

    I was referring to 1973-74. You know that. I know you know that. I'm not suggesting that 2000 to October 2002 wasn't pretty, but there was no capitulation. Minimal impact to volume (albeit numerous buy and hold investors were decimated). A bear market hnges upon how you define it...
  10. efficiency

    Blood on the Streets

    I don't consider myself necessarily a gloom and doomer. I generally have both long and short positions, and not for the sake of being hedged. I wrote "until recently" concerning M1 The market, over the long term, has an upward bias. Stems from economic growth, demographic growth...
  11. efficiency

    Blood on the Streets

    Apex, You keep harping on the SPX rally. Net net, it's flat YTD and basically in the apex of a three year triangle. A good two day swing trade in many liquid equities, timed "right", from near the low of day 1 to near the high of day 2 should fetch rougly that. As for the Fed Funds...
  12. efficiency

    Dao of Trading

    Confucius say "man with hole in pocket feel cocky all day"
  13. efficiency

    Buffet says Crude has peaked

    Absolutely NO sources are cited. This is fluff. Hence, you might want to consider changing your moniker to "fluffy" (but make sure it's not confused with the neighborhood cat).
  14. efficiency

    What old Mr. Partridge

    As we know, Livermore died by his own hand and with wealth a mere fraction of its 1929 peak (not to mention boom and bust on two prior occasions). "Speculating" on the reason(s) for this I would venture to say included the advent of the Federal Reserve and other government programs which...
  15. efficiency

    Taking bets on FNM here....

    Foremost, Fannie Mae is the garbage dump (aka secondary market) for the nation's overzealous mortgage lenders. Only good orginations are kept in house. The remainder are bundled and securitized. Silly as it sounds these securities can and do serve as bank reserves. I won't delve into...
  16. efficiency

    If Chewy Loses Money in July - He Will Quit Trading

    Talk is cheap and the world is full of advice. Here's mine: Over-trading is counter-productive. Don't force trades, let them "come to you" No big deal IF you have NO entries all day. (hey, that's the same net effect as giving up trading). Paper trading is all good and fine BUT is absent...
  17. efficiency

    (False) Breakout & Trend Reversal Strategies??

    In terms of a triangle, a breakout that occurs BEFORE the price reaches the apex tends to be more valid. A good filter would be IF the intra-day range of the breakout represents an expansion from a narrow range day.
  18. efficiency

    housing crash

    Residential housing doesn't crash, it subsides. Slower turnover. If you have a home listed for 6 months with few lookers and fewer offers, naturally, sooner or later you drop your price contingent upon your urgency. When done en masse.......................... Of course with normal...
  19. efficiency

    CNBC - Cramer's Mad Money

    He's a shill. And an annoyingly loud one. Looks like someone I beat up in junior high. He didn't move CMGI. The ax did, in response to he being a shill. It's up all of 3% AFTER the 16% gap. THIS SHOULDN'T BE A TOPIC ON THIS BOARD
  20. efficiency

    Analyst Predicts Massive Grain Shortage in Two Years

    Foremost, the crack about the inability to forecast the weather the next day. I agree, but meteorology and climatology are TWO DIFFERENT THINGS. Secondly, the forecast within two years is extreme but such an event occuring is not that far fetched. We Americans are accustiomed to an abundance...
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