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  1. R

    Is this ethical and how does it differ from what Goldman did?

    Interesting discussion, but I see all this in a slightly different light; the kind of light that I have seen politicians both Republican and Democrat use for the last 50 years. Their method is as old as the hills. Politicians are desperate right now. Banks are failing, millions out of work...
  2. R

    I Have Not Been Able To Exclude The Possibility Of BLACK MONDAY 04/26

    Whoa, at days end the big money is dumping the dip.
  3. R

    I Have Not Been Able To Exclude The Possibility Of BLACK MONDAY 04/26

    That was some dip this morning.
  4. R

    This Wed FED Will Do What?

    IMO there isn't a reply that any of us can make that will come close to what the Fed is really thinking. None of us are privy to the ‘real’ economic details that they use to make their decisions with. So who knows of what they are afraid of going forward. Then there is Bubble Ben and his...
  5. R

    Adding more parameters to your model vs. curve fitting?

    Good morning! It's a bright and sunny day out there. Too bad they're all dark and cloudy for you huh?
  6. R

    Adding more parameters to your model vs. curve fitting?

    Yes, the way you described the process it is the way I do it. I normally take my 3 key input parameters 2 at a time against profit factor, etc… Then I try to fit them on my screens all at once and take notes. There are many interesting relationship you can dig out of these 3D graphs that...
  7. R

    Intraday trading and Percent-Risk Position Sizing

    The percent risk process revolves around the question “How fast will you allow your account to be depleted in the worst case with your style of trading?” This means based on the rate you generate trades what is the maximum amount of pain you can accept in your accounting period. For a day...
  8. R

    Adding more parameters to your model vs. curve fitting?

    Data mining is a database term I used when I was an IT DBA building data warehouses on large scale IBM DB2 systems before I retired. We tend to over use the term and associate it with price data alone. Actual data mining uses data in many tables (and columns in them). IMO the type of data mining...
  9. R

    Adding more parameters to your model vs. curve fitting?

    How many input parameters you add is a matter of your personal tastes. You must define your own beliefs about the degrees of freedom that your strategy will use. I say this because there are fierce opinions on this issue as to what is one input parameter too many. Meaning you produce only curve...
  10. R

    The last big crash it took 20 years before confidence came back?

    It is not a question of trust for many baby boomers; it is necessity. It is either stay in the market with your 401K or risk not retiring. These are their peak earning years and they are depending on having their 401k earn in place of their pensions.
  11. R

    Traders in Southeast Michigan?

    I live in Shelby Twp.
  12. R

    better way to do Out-of-sample test?

    The term metadata comes from IT meaning data about data. In trading I use it to refer to the data conditions that are taking place during buying and selling. For example programming into a strategy what the correct volatility conditions, price direction, high or low volume, etc.. that must be in...
  13. R

    better way to do Out-of-sample test?

    In this thread and other threads I am beginning to hear rumblings from traders who are building dynamic hybrid strategies that they require different testing approaches. For example Pocket Change states: “Unless your strategy is dynamic adjusting to market changes of course you are going to...
  14. R

    Slower economic growth needs to be engineered?

    Conservatives are fearful of the Obama progressive agenda. Their mission is to take from those who work hard and give free to those who don’t. Then on Election Day those who get will have to vote for the progressive agenda to keep on getting. And since those who get will vastly out number...
  15. R

    Why newsletter services are like professional traders

    Start in a bull market. Find sectors moving up. Pick industries in vogue. Draw weekly charts with trend lines under stocks in these industries moving up. Buy a mailing list from the 10,000 mail vendors. Hype your $99 product to 10,000 investors using standard jargon. Hit rate should be 1 or 2%...
  16. R

    A High Income Strategy for a Retirement Portfolio

    In the years before I retired to trade full time I tried all kinds of trading. It cost me big but I found swing and position trading fit me perfectly. But determining how to make it work took me to a whole different level. Because my background was programming in IT I was able to build...
  17. R

    Multicharts "can't find DLL" error

    Garchbrooks, I feel your pain. I would not allow them on my box last fall when my ShowMes all died when I installed release 5.5 for Multicharts. They claimed I did not install the release correctly. As a retired IT person who has done 1000s of installs I was pissed at Multicharts. So I...
  18. R

    What's your edge's win percentage ?

    The expectancy of any system is far more important than winning percentage. Winning percentage gives you nothing to hang your hat on during a performance review. Where a system that is doing as expected per trade tells me whether I am meeting my goals or not. I have had automated systems with...
  19. R

    1930 Rally ended on April 16

    Excellent summary of the markets; your assessment is dead on target.
  20. R

    SEC charges GS with fraud

    This is old news: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/mike-lux/fraud-at-goldman-sachs_b_342710.html It is a ploy by BO.
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