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many reasons. for instance a strong currency (CNY) decreases the trade surplus. therefore less dollars gets recycled into treasuries. therefore less demand at auctions - bonds drop.

the thread on peak oil emerges every quarter or so here on ET. it amazes me how it is always exactly the same. people even do not bother to google the term but claim they are experts. then somebody victorisously brings abiotic theory and the thread disintegrates into frustration and ad hominem...

indeed. got confused with the original post - thought you had dropped CoC but now I see of course you did not. cheers

not true. A future price reflects the expected... future... price PLUS cost of carry! that's why investing in UNG is losers game - you simply continually incur costs of storage....

+100. to OP - this post basically summarize that gartman does not know how to invest in gas. the fact that he is clueless on how to do it does not mean that you can't do it. i am in gas up to the hilt for the past year and that investment is only making me money. trusts are good when you...

I started to buy again into GS today around 134, i.e. it will go lower soon...:D

i see. cheers

don't want to discuss that particular trade but i have one general question about how you trade pairs. from what i see it looks like that for each 100 shares of DO you sell 100 share of BP. Is that right? is that why you claim that the spread is flat? somehow I really can't believe that you...

agree despite 1 year may be still too short time for all that money to get through. i do not think we need to insist on particular figures - the outcome will be pretty obvious... gl

ok - out at 32.50. not going to fight such a strong market.

note that you certainly did not make a wager with me. and in particular not about BP/DO spread... the wager is really done between atticus and atticus and as such you should consider starting a new journal thread - and not polute the thread about BP. we all know you are a smart guy so stay on...

wow - impressive sell-off in BP. when i mentioned in the morning that we might see mid 20s i did not expected to see it by the afternoon.... what is really interesting today is that bonds started to move as well - they now yield close to what CIT Group does (recently reorganized under...

i think the problem is that when you put in a LMT order to buy say 1000 shares at 80.00 and offer is 500@79.99 and then 300@80.00 and then 500@80.01 you do not get a 100% fill (only 800) while the second leg may fill 100%; so you unintentionally run overall delta risk. Or is there a way to...

what really is scary is what happened in the past few years to government involvement in business and privacy. they will soon tell us when we should eat, wash, make love etc. Orwell would be proud... wtf government tells BP what to do with its own money? afaik there was no judgment yet and...

i do not trade pairs very often but when I do I usually do it by legging into the trade via LMT orders. this has its own dangers. I use mainly IB and I do not think there is a way to guarantee simultaneous fill for LMT orders. of course you can use Basket Trader and do MKT order or...

i think that concerns only shallow watter - should have no impact on atpg - but the price is still up big :confused:

well if you are not stupid you know i was not talking about this petty detail. i was talking about that yesterday during the day you were down big and especially on DO/SLB (close to 5 bucks, i.e. 10% of capital). every normal trader would take the trade off (stop-loss) especially with...

where is this news? that would be a shocker - and of course big positive for atpg...

LOL - why haven't you been that fast with your posting yesterday? it can't get more childish than that. have some class kid...or at least ask your parents what it means. good you made some money (if you did).

great article and totally agree.