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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    I just have a better feel for the XEO. 1) The channel it trades in seems to be well defined. 2) I can go just out of the trading range, with 5 point spreads, around 20-23% probability and get around 1.20 credit. 3) If the index closes outside the channel - breaks the range - for a...
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    I enjoy reading your posts too. I have learnt a lot. So, don't keep quiet. I trade 5 point XEO just OTM and have done much better that the FOTM SPX trades. But, I am not comfortable trading the SPX just OTM. So, will continue with FOTM only bear call trades on SPX.
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Heather, Sorry to hear what happened. After watching the market move. I have decided to only play bear call spreads. Maybe put diagonals and cheap put butterflies. No more bull put spreads unless: 1) we break to the upside - out of a long downtrending channel 2) we start a new...
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    So, to open diagonals you: 1) Check the volatility range of the index (for the long month ..?). Buy when the volatility of the long is at a low point. 2) Also, open when the stochastics are turning down (at the top of the range). Looks like this is when you opened the June/Jul diag...
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Piccon: I trade with OX and TOS. But, I like TOS much better because: 1) Its easier/faster to see the option chains. any month, and widths. Faster/Easier to create/modify and execute a trade. You get the mids. Not with OX. 2) Great probability analysis and risk profile graphs...
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    at OX SPX 1345/1355 @.85 mid was 1.05. Could not get filled higher at OX at TOS XEO 600/605 @1.05 mid was 1.10 XEO 575/570/565 P butterfly @.30 (cheap bet for a downward move) mid was between .15 and .20 Closed April spreads: XEO around 16%. SPX around 6%
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    That post sounds like Riskarb. Have to read it again and again. Its like debugging C# code...........
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Thanks, rally. Trading with technicals sure helps.......
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    As you can see and as i said before, i use the last 3 month trading range and enter my trades using technical analysis. My favorite entry is after Hammers as you can see from the charts. The bullish/bearish engulfing patterns on the chart seem to be pretty accurate also. Also, notice...
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Hi, Thanks for sharing your strategy. It would be great to read updates on your trades. I have used a similar strategy on the XEO (works great when it is rangebound). Definitely better returns that the FOTM spreads on the SPX that I also trade. But, the XEO trades have needed more...
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Murray, What about a call side credit spread and a put calendar? In a ratio of 5(or >) to 1. This way the credit spread pays for the calendar +some. The calendar increases in value with increased volatility. No fear of a "black swan" event because the credit spread will bring in more...
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Very interesting.......... So you have 2 calendars at 1375 And 8 embedded spreads = 8 calendars at 1340 8 bear calls 1340/1375 which basically pays for your calender with some additional credit or breakeven maybe..... I put this trade in TOS, Looks...
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Also had XEO 595/600 for .85. Held on till the end............... Closed SPX 1320/1325 earlier. Lesson learned - close at 80% profit OR at .10-.20. I have been trading both SPX and XEO, but profits seem to be more in XEO. My April spreads may be in trouble. I have the XEO 595/600...
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Murray, If you were doing a 1:1 double diagonal and the market is near your short strike: 1) When would you adjust (at short, between short and break even? ....?) 2) How would you adjust? (roll short to create a calender? double calender? ......?) Thanks
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    I had an order in this morning for SPX 1340/1350 @.90 also. Did not get filled even when the spread was at 1.05. I reduced from .90 to .85 to .80 to .75. Finally filled at .70. I feel the market will move sideways/down in April. That's why I wanted a fill on the call side. I will...
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Coach, This strategy seems to work well in a range-bound market. What credit spreads do you have for Apr.? Donna, do you have any positions on for Apr.?
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Riskarb's combo to fly conversion journal ....?? No PUT spreads for March either. Just closed SPX 1320/1325 Still have XEO 595/600
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    The straddle could be bought back for 8.30. So, 11.10 - 8.30 = 2.8 profit (would be more without the original strangle purchase to reduce margin) The conversion to iron butterfly locked in 2 with a potential for 5
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Coach, I paper traded the idea of selling an ATM straddle, later converting to an iron butterfly......... 1) 2/15/06 : Sold the Mar. 580 C/P XEO straddle for 13.10 (Because of high margin reqs., I added a far OTM strangle to reduce margin) 2) 2/15/06: Bought Mar. 605C/555P strangle...
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    I'm also at SPX 1320 (and XEO 595) for Mar. SPX may be close. But, I will not adjust unless we close above 1300. If XEO closes above 590, may have to adjust there too. I have also bought DJX puts. Seems overbought...............
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