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  1. W

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Is that all you have left JS? Just insults and name calling? I'm all shook up inside. You also commented a page or two ago that "I should be congratulated" for graduating to a level of understanding most traders don't get to, AND apparently OP contacted you (LOL) to say I "almost had the...
  2. W

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Now this dude is asking you personal questions and trying to show you he knows how to make a profit. And next he'll say "Oh well I don't make a profit on all my trades, I lose a lot to." But he's not actually showing you any of that. He's just showing you he made $500, which is supposed to play...
  3. W

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Oh.. Well in that case OP is talking to me too. Hey Red! I have a hot stock tip for you!! Send me a PM and I'll tell you what it is. But don't tell anyone ok, this one is a major money maker.
  4. W

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    If ANYONE here thinks J_Smith is talking to the OP of this article, you are a fucking moron. J_Smith is pissed I'm calling him out on his bullshit. I shouldn't have to say this but I will anyway, DO NOT SEND HIM MONEY.
  5. W

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Lol ok sure. You put up two charts, one with tails/opens/closes, and one without. And you claim there is something special about it. There is not. NOW, most people will listen to what you say blindly. They will look at your bullshit with awe. They will believe there is something special to see...
  6. W

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Stop conning this poor guy.
  7. W

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    HA. Some of it. Marcus Crassus used to set apartment buildings on fire in Ancient Rome and then bought them for next to nothing from the panicked owner. After the owner sold Crassus's firefighting team would put the fire out and repair the damage. Crassus would subsequently raise the rents on...
  8. W

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    I hope this helps someone. It took me YEARS to understand what OP was trying to say and I finally get it. Here's a parable: On Sept 20, 2000 the SEC settled a stock fraud case against a 15 year old high school student named Jonathan Lebed. His strategy was to buy up large portions of the...
  9. W

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Read a history book you twat
  10. W

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    I hope this helps someone. It took me YEARS to understand what OP was trying to say and I finally get it. Here's a parable: On Sept 20, 2000 the SEC settled a stock fraud case against a 15 year old high school student named Jonathan Lebed. His strategy was to buy up large portions of the...
  11. W

    Vxx options premium?

    What are prices like on expiring current week, at the money VXX calls when the VIX spikes? With lowish volatility today, it seems to be about $0.70 for an expiring this week @ the money call. I'm wondering how extreme the price gets when the VIX goes north of 30. Would one be paying $1.00, or...
  12. W

    Does Probability exist?

    I'm still learning the game so this is an honest question. What mistakes do people continue to make and where can I start to learn how to take advantage?
  13. W

    Fixed Fractional

    I've said too much ;)
  14. W

    Fixed Fractional

    Naw I just wanted to see if you understood randomness
  15. W

    Fixed Fractional

    Is this true?: If I just randomly go short, looking for a 5 point drop, and a stop loss at 10 points up, and I did that 100 times, on average would I win 66% and lose 33%?
  16. W

    Fixed Fractional

    But a trader has to win or lose 100% of their trades, that's the only 2 options, like a coin flip has to be 100% heads or tails(no 3rd option). I'm confused by what you meant
  17. W

    Fixed Fractional

    I'm having a brain fart, someone's gatta set me straight. Does fixed fractional naturally put you closer to 0? My reasoning(hypothetical): 3 wins, 3 losses, $100,000 account. Win/lose 2% every trade. T1: Win...$102000 (+2%) T2: Lose...$99960 (-2%) T3: Win...$101960 (+2%) T4: Lose...$99920 (-2%)...
  18. W

    Average Up on Strategy Performance

    And to answer OP's questions... Averaging up will NOT turn an unprofitable trader into a profitable one... For the same reason doubling up in a casino won't make you a profitable gambler. Averaging up wont necessarily make an already profitable trader even more profitable (although it could)...
  19. W

    Average Up on Strategy Performance

    I think you're a smart dude loyek, stay profitable...
  20. W

    Average Up on Strategy Performance

    I don't know of anyone (trader or investor) who has been successful by never taking profit. Even Buffett, Mr. Buy and Hold Forever, takes profit occasionally. Another great example is Karl Icahn on his Netflix investment. I don't remember his exact quote but it was something like "Being a...
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