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The UK already has an inverted/humped yield curve.. the curve in NZ has been inverted for almost a year.. Australia curve looks pretty bad too... the curve on EU doesnt look to great either.. again... you are making a good case to weakening stock market and asset prices.. weaker economic...

I completely disagree.... i think the US is not that bad as you make it.. yes the world is in poor shape.. global debt is out of control.. etc.. If anything this will reflect more in the stock market .. but the US economy and financial situation is not much worse than say that of Japan, UK...

You have to put housing into context of global supply and demand... US is not the only place that has had massive debt in terms of current account deficit.. look at New Zealand.. running huge deficit and scary consumer debt.. UK current accuont is creeping up... so take it for what its worth...

Although this makes sense.. i did some study on interest rate differentials.. but the differential alone is not enough.. also need to factor in GDP growth is a huge factor... Look at Japan.. then have had lower rates than US for many years.. yet the currency continues to be rather strong if u...

Thats 9% interest for year... why is that not believable? Ever hear of credit cards?

Chase Bank is offering a free ipod if you open an account... ipod is becoming a hot commodity item.. like the microwave or toaster.. shorting this stock is not easy.. but the risk to reward is on my side. --MIKE

I sold a few $75 Jan calls for over $3 today... seems like a good offer.

Nice work.. whats the net p&l look like since start of journal?

Sounds great.. what was net p&l for that play?

Riskarb, Say the emini er2 spot is trading at 680 and I get 30 points on a 680 straddle... how would one go about hedging this position? What if you had a downward bias too? --MIKE

I hear that the amd are much better for gaming.. but they dont have hyperthreading technology... I was figuring the intel would be better at multi tasking which is the most important issue for me.

Looks like these 2 chips are comparable in price.. which one would u recommend.. I dont play any games.. the machine I am using would be for trading, charting, basic multimedia stuff and a lot of MS office. The p4 630 is a 3.0 ghz with 2mb l2 cache. The amd 3200 is the new 939 stocket...

I am still short .. but covered most of the position. with a stop at b/e. I am not greedy... i'll take the quck 5% profit. --MIKE

Looks like when I try to update my winxp pro It gives me an error saying that my version is not validated. Can someone please PM me a working cd-key or some type of fix to this problem? I can no longer update my version of windows xp pro.

I agree I noticed that currency whip around way too much and the premium being received for selling a no touch is not reasonable on a risk:reward basis. That leaves me to the conclusion that It might make sense to just trade outright touch exotics directionally similar to going long call or put.

Riskarb.. whatever happened to this gbp/jpy trade.. the pair blew up?

Truth is.. it was luck that this stock tanked so hard today... but the call was from combination of fundemental analysis and some technicals... I still hold the premise that there is little edge in going with the trend in stocks... i backtested strategies that went long in downtrend or long...

Just experience and gut.. and some good luck.

Locked in some at $71.

Yea.. gonna lock in some profits... stop at b/e right now.