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Yeah, I saw that 870 on 7/13 but it it was awkward, cd was below AH referenced 865.50 low but price higher . . . I wasn't sure how that is played . . . CD was however higher than 7/12 868.75 low . . . if you played the 865.50 low and were awake at 2am EST on 7/13, and you got fills . . . it was...

Who scared off AMT, hmmm? :)

So CD still shows holders from 950 area, but 928 area shorts all liquidated . . . an attempt to load up more at better than 928? I saw some attempt by shorts late in the day today, but it didn't seem to have stuck and now in AH I'm seeing them trying again . . . it's AH, so I guess we'd have...

IMHO, I don't know if a rally is a given! 875s have decent longs (~20K so far) . . . . but 884 shorts have roughly 24K right now. The 884 area has shorts more dispersed than does the 875 area longs . . . so we'll see. The rally could be to the 884s so shorts can get "tighter" pricing . . . ...

Hi AMT, it seems that commercials on occassion use news events to "justify" a move . . . additionally they always seem to start out a few days/rotations in advance to building inventory/improve pricing . . . . it also seems that they somehow have the information at hand either through...

If you know what you're doing you want higher leverage, not lower . . . .

I agree with you . . . This method can work, but you need to have $$$ to be able to rotate positions several times, until you get it right . . . . and have the ball$ to sustain the loss if you don't . . .

I think there are sizeable longs in the 900s and 890s to deal with before we get to 885s . . . . . . then again some might say that 5-15pts is "splitting hairs"

Good for you Ken, it seems you've found your game . . . . wishing good fortunes to you . . . In the meantime time I'll keep working to find my game . . . I'm hoping that you're not on the other side of my trades . . .:) :)

AMT, from the Junes, what size of resting longs did you calculate in the now 72.25-76 Septs zone?

Unless my CD readings are wrong, it looks like those short are gone for all practical purposes . . . at EOD it looks like there might have been a build of shorts at the 893.50 touch, but I'd think a lot of those were profit takers from LOD . . . is the area you mention a reference point for...

Is it possible to opt to continue a position at the expense/profit of basis (from one contract to another) . . .? If so this'd be new to me . . . and something I've learnt . . . at the expense of showing off my noobness . . . :)

Or it could just be the tempramental [mood] swings . . . :)

I actually do believe you when you say that there'd be a reaction off of 876s but, how did those positions exactly rollover if we haven't yet touched the zone in Septs?

I like how you refer to it as "she" . . . must be influenced by the bikini warrior girls next door . . . :)

Some questions AMT . . . . . aren't the 950s sellers and 876s buyers the same group of people? Or a majority of them? If not, what PA/Delta characteristics distinguish one from the other? Is there any value in watching the full sized S&P500 contract w or w/o delta? Now that the...

This may be a really silly/naive question but who exactly are "commercials"? Plus, I'd assume they are not one person, but a group of people/corporations who behave in a similar way . . . I'd also assume that one commercial cannot for certain know what the other commercial will do at a...

I think it first starts with what constitutes a "delta zone" . . . . no delta zone = no looking for order flow transition . . . :)

Dude are you missing some data . . . I show price on the Septs as low as 923 around 2:15 on 6/10?

I presume you're talking about the spread between futures and the cash market? As futures contracts get closer to maturity they converge with the cash market. So in answer to your question, largest at the beginning of contract, theoretically near zero at maturity . . .