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Heck maybe the house that initiated the trade shorted them to open. You just dont get to know and therefore its interesting to note but not of any particular value.

Because of the nature of the tlt product I doubt they're just selling premium. On the other hand there is no doubt at all the trade was shopped and agreed on off the floor and just crossed on the floor.

None of that gives you a clue as to whther the initiator of the trade, bought to open, or sold to open. Pure volume means nothing. The fact that the whole piece was put up in one or two trades on one exchange only means that the trade was shopped all over the place and the two party's involved...

its priced into the options already

IV has been on a steady march higher since the end of June in that one, hope you didnt get short the stuff.

I hear yaa Donna, I hate when I cant get limit up from those cowards in the pit.

Wowo 3200 is a nice number congratz

mark promotes his materials all over the place TOS or no TOS, thats what people who write books and make websites and blogs do. Just live with it. Congratz on the ranking, the only info you didnt include is whether first place means 10 books to the others 8 or 10 thousand books.

The CBOE are not options on futures. If I recall on the CME its something like 100k contracts but if I were you and you really needed to know its worth double checking

More than you could ever need

I would not have at all especially in a market as big and as braod as the SnP500 and all of its off shoots. On occasion in an individual issue which has small volume and OI you might make that leap of faith but IMO that does not apply to most of evrything else.

The price on those puts may have been agreed on hours before and they just corssed it at that time and it hit the tape then. I understand your process here but I am warning you its not a sound one since that order may have traded hours before or been linked to a futures price having nothing...

THe march 20's have virtually no vega and thus a very near 1.0 delta, therefore their price move was strictly intrinsic with the stocks move, they also didnt trade today. The Oct 30's prior to todays move had a FV which included a substanital amount of vega so they lost money as you stated in...

Whey would that indicate a dump? How do you know if they were buy to open, buy to close, sell to open or sell to close. How would you know what was done vs. the trade? All you know is that a 25k lot traded and at what price, technically you dont even know how long it was shopped or what was...

I believe that’s Donna P as in the woman’s name Donna not a guy. What a moot point this all is since none of us are making markets in a vacuum. There was a time years ago you could pick off the market in thinly traded options because some prices were solely put out there by one firm and...

Search for underlyings with high IV and high HV

Neither AAPL or the NDX index has a particularly high IV so the options dont move all that hot

Do you really believe that 60% a year return is out there (5% a month), and easily attainable? I think thats where you should start first. "Run Forest, Run!"

Yup the gibberish above confirms it, Welcome back Riskfree, we have not seen your brand of entertainment here since the last time you got kicked off ET

When your strategy is one of the big 3 thats not a good sign. The top 3 strategies on ET and other boards tend to be ( no particular order) 1. hope 2. Wishing 3. prayer As I noted earlier hedge funds who returned 18% a year ( a year not a month) would be considered world beaters...