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I just like the rr ratio on the calls if it turns out to be nothing. Not a daytrade for me.

I sincerely hope you run it up to some big bucks. Just make sure you have a plan. Figuring out your approach on minimal funds doesn't go well for most.

Trading crude with 1k is brave. Especially when still asking strangers online when you should trade it. You may wish to rethink what you are doing. Those that have been warning you are speaking from experience...

We'll see. I got a great fill in the initial volatility, was surprised I filled at my bid. Thanks for the heads up.

Interesting...bought some SEP 30 calls. Seems like a decent gamble...

If you have the ability to automate you really shouldn't have to ask this question.

Well I closed my trades yesterday. Things look to be shifting and I was positioned wrong. Moved into some value plays because I'm going to be offline for a while due work, hopefully when I'm back I can post screenshots of a badass acd gui I hope to create while offline.

Yeah my current target includes a fixed monthly contribution that is significant compared to the account size. Sorry I should have mentioned that.

This is the problem with Bitcoin right here. The value is in the technology and the processing power behind it. Bitcoin as a store of value is a joke.

It ended up as my semiconductor choice because i have some non-ACD factors that come in to play when it comes down to final trade choice and timing. I agree with your sentiment on not wanting to be in it either way in the short term, but my 30 day looks very nice for a short, confirming on 7/7.

I did a lot of testing of various trade management schemes based on % movement, volatility, some indicators, and pure price targets and stops. I found that all I was doing was shifting around the distribution of my returns without adding any expectation. In most data sets I found that even...

Yeah all the positions I'm in are publishing in the next week or two. I've adjusted my position size accordingly.

Anyone watching semiconductors? I have had very negative 30 day on them (SMH and components) since 6/28, so tried one short (ON) early this month. I took a loss on it after a few days, and have been watching them go up since then. Thursday and Friday I started to catch a few early signs of...

That's why you've got to test it. Otherwise you are just hoping...

So here is the distribution of 3 day returns for the XOP components since I posted that. RRC and CLR are the 1st and the 3rd bars. Good job ACD. :)

Thanks for the honest feedback. It sounds like the smart route is to keep trading my own account and maybe eventually sell a product if I can create the awesome software that I have in my mind right now.

I thought I would revisit this thread for some follow-on advice. In the time since starting this thread, I have learned a lot about python and have been able to greatly improve my methodology to the point where I am applying it to all products. I haven't done any optimizing and I am able to...

I've been calling it a bubble since the low 100's. I haven't made any bets against it because there is no limit to a bubble, and counterparty risk is beyond unacceptable. I almost bought 5000 of them at $1 but decided against it because I thought government would intervene. I don't regret...

No bubble here lol...

Volente are you just using volatility cones and calling x SD move an inflection point?