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  1. Z

    non-linear optimization payout matrix for pitcher vs batter

    My wife has recently taken up watching baseball. I enjoy a good game, but every night, gets kind of repetitive. So I tried to liven it up by considering how to apply a lecture I saw on non-linear optimization for the pitcher vs the batter. (google search for "non-linear optimization video"...
  2. Z

    For all you Baboons

    Hulu had a 13-episode series on a macaque gang in India, told like a docu-drama: http://www.hulu.com/rebel-monkeys The top monkey has it real rough. His duties include: - know everyone in the gang and keep an eye on them - lead the gang to sufficient food throughout the week - stop fights...
  3. Z

    Better Bar Backtests …

    I came to the same sort of conclusion recently. I don't have an answer yet, but I'm trying to change my focus towards values from price that won't change based on a bar's summary (eg, highs and lows).
  4. Z

    how important is start time for time frame bars

    thanks Mr Turtle ... and other above posters who already knew this ... yes, it all makes sense now, now I understand my nagging suspicion indicators were missing something, Donchian channels were best, and all my strategies tend towards randomness over time ... Highs and lows are the only...
  5. Z

    how important is start time for time frame bars

    Thanks -- that offers support for my guess, that highs and lows are much more important than closes for chart patterns. The higher time frame summarizes the data, and does not tell the path within it. I think it was Redneck, in another thread, who said the ability to see how the lower time frame...
  6. Z

    how important is start time for time frame bars

    let's see if it will show the picture in the post: ok, this might make it easier to view on the thread
  7. Z

    how important is start time for time frame bars

    here's the image -- didn't get it on first post.
  8. Z

    how important is start time for time frame bars

    I've read lots from various sources that goes along the lines of "wait for the bar to close over the XXX indicator", or another example is candlestick patterns that depend on the O-H-L-C values for the shape of the candle. However, I think it is possible to change the shape of the candles, or...
  9. Z

    Where's Arthur Deco / Joe Doaks / Albert Cibiades

    Do you mean "art" as in a creative work, or as in some were actually Art (Dr Deco) and not one of his other personalities? Either way, I hope he comes back.
  10. Z

    Trading "Secrets"

    When it comes to secrets, I think Lao Tzu said it best: "Those who know do not tell; Those who tell do not know" Then there's another good one he's written, very good for learning anything: "The fool knows how much he knows; The wise man knows how little he knows" But, I don't think these...
  11. Z

    "Strong hands": Do they exist and how do they trade?

    Maybe try looking at it as, What do strong hands want to do? How many options are available to them? They might do more than watch and trade; they may also have a few options to encourage price direction. For example, while I have watch, wait, buy, short, hold, cover, exit, in reaction to price...
  12. Z

    Working 2 jobs?

    +3 -- and one should focus on completing the task, not the number of hours. If you give it 40 hours, it will take 40 hours; if you give it as much time as it needs followed by beer at the beach, it will take 20 hours or less.
  13. Z

    Fire Walking anyone?

    I think there are 2 opposites to it -- your belief or confidence you can, and your fear that you cannot. But the most inhibiting factor is your mind cycling over those 2 emotions. The key is focus on the task, and quiet the bs discussion in the mind about confidence/fear -- that discussion is a...
  14. Z

    This Machine Destroys EVERYTHING

    The Muffin Monster !! I saw that on "Dirty Jobs", that is what's at the end of the sewer line, and the "muffin" it makes sure isn't one anyone would like to eat ....
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    a trading problem for mathematicians

    I don't know, I think this model might not be correct, System B cannot be assume to be applied to the balls selected by System A if they're uncorrelated. This point has probably been made, I don't know. I think the model is more like: 1) suppose there are a lot of price bars 2) system A tags...
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    a trading problem for mathematicians

    Sorry about that, after I posted I deleted my comment because I didn't want to be nitpicking over a detail, but looks like you've quoted it before that. Just wanted to note it because I forget it and get tripped up sometimes -- the range is from perfect negative correlation, to no correlation...
  17. Z

    Staring at orderbook for 1 year. Insane?

    I have no idea and no real insight. In general, regardless of method (PA, TA, FA, etcA), be careful of bias. This happens when you look for an event and try to figure out the pattern that preceded the event. The bias is if you don't look for all the cases of the pattern, then you may miss the...
  18. Z

    - - - 6e Euro Chat Room ? ? ? - - -

    Barron's just had an interesting article on twitter and stocktwits. Sounds like stocktwits is better, not as many non-trading posts. Some people are looking at the posts as another way to get info on general market mood and expectations.
  19. Z

    Revolution has Started by Jungle-Man in India

    Interesting style of math-logic combo ...
  20. Z

    Why aren't all genius's rich?

    I liked this thread on this topic: "u gotta be dumbass to be a rich trader, smartasses go broke" http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=217636&perpage=6&pagenumber=1
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