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    2 questions about SPY

    My answer is here. Give your appreciation now.:D
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    How to compare a system against random entries

    I think it is fairly easy and can be done with any backtesting platform. You initiate random entries using a random number generation function and then apply your exits. Do that for a number of times, like 100, find the mean return of those runs and compare it to the mean return of your system...
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    Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

    Could you offer your insight and understanding? (No wiki links pls).
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    Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

    Those of you who insist that there are no patterns in the market and price action is random, how to you explain the recent performance of this blogger who is using simple patterns? On 09/30/2011 he showed a price pattern in QQQ and he gave a down target of 5%. The target was hit two days...
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    Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

    Of course it does unless you know already the outcome of some other stocks. In the Monty Hall problem, you already know the outcome of the game presenter's choice. This is what changes the probability. But you are correct that at the start of the day, this has no meaning. So any reference to...
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    Why I quit algorithmic trading

    Anyone figured out what this guy tried to do?
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    need the dow to hold 10,600 on close

    Sounds reasonable to me. Last Sunday when I read Harris' analysis where he talks about a $110 target in SPY I laughed. I didn't listen to him and I regret it. I'm looking forward to see what this guy will say for next week.
  8. G

    It is now time to sell sell sell your TLT - Bonds are going to crash

    Got to be very careful here. Nobody knows how far down will go. FED just keeps on buying.
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    What's your favorite trading software?

    Trading software is a very vague term. I distinguish 4 general types of trading software: 1. Visual (ex. Amibroker,Metastock) 2. Backtesting (ex. tradingblox, multicharts, Amibroker) 3. Signal generation (ex. Tradestation, multicharts, data mining) 4. Order placement (ex. IB TWS)...
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    AAPL growth prospects

    I know a lot have been said already about this. What do you think? I visited one of the Apple Stores last Sunday and the products are amazing, especially that thin MacBook Air. At the same time I am wondering about prospects for future growth.
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    Is this insider trading?

    Law is as vague as you are...
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    It is now time to sell sell sell your TLT - Bonds are going to crash

    http://www.priceactionlab.com/Blog/2011/09/tlt-possible-correction-to-close-gap/ Maybe beginning of bond downtrend if Greece problem solved.
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    back test .. what to learn what to use

    You have to learn how to do some basic programming. That is all.
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    LLC questions

    Just started thinking about it and I am collecting information. A few questions for those with experience in forming and operating an LLC 1 - Can I be the only member? 2 - Is it required to maintain an office in the state of incorporation? Best state with lower expenses? 3 - Is an LLC taxed...
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    Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

    I was wondering the same. Could MAESTRO have been wrong?
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    Backtesting and Strategy Validation - How Much is Enough?

    :) + a million they will never understand you though, most of them...
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    Could you trade this profitably?

    You're wasting your valuable time...
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    Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

    You go ahead and give us one example of one thing that has no cause and that is verifiable empirically. Then we may believe you. Otherwise, we are free to clasiffy you as another troll. Go ahead, make my day...
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    Get Rid Of All FOREX Threads Now

    I agree and I should add ...and direct those scumbags to T2W
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    automated high probability trades

    High prob based on what? Real trades or sim? Meaning that you want automated entries but manual exits? I get the impression you - like many others here - grossly underestimate what is involved in establishing a robust and reliable automated strategy. To start with you have to spend a lot...
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