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Only trading related channel I follow on Youtube is the ever-hilarious Kenny Glick aka HitTheBid: https://www.youtube.com/user/HittheBidRadio/

Seems like an obvious question: anyone in wheat?

Based on what? There's nothing of significance around here that I can see.

You can't trade this market with a 3 point stop and VIX at 16. Had you simply doubled the breathing room for your stop you wouldn't have even got stopped out the first time. It's cool that you got back in but you need to worry less about losing money and give it more room.

My thoughts exactly. He also glosses over quite a bit of real shit to actually worry about in the pursuit of showing us this "volatility carry strategy", which isn't new, nor is it riding the "belly of the curve" or any of that either.

"Another way to think about the trade is this: by combining a short position in VXX with a long position in the front-month futures, we are in effect creating a residual exposure in the value of the second month VIX futures contract relative to the first. So this is a strategy in which we are...

You guys are getting blown up because you're selling OTM/strangle type stuff and juicing it up to get a reasonable return. Sell closer to the money and less of it. You'll have an easier time hedging it when the bid/ask spread gets stupid as well.

Definitely not. Spreads are trading the curve of an instrument. They are not hedged per se, so much as in they protect you from adverse moves that would happen anyway (although they do filter out some externalities at times). It's still a directional trade in some form or fashion otherwise there...

Are you interested in this because you've been taught a lesson that there's not actually any free money in the market and want to transition to something you perceive as being less risky or just another source of perceived free money? Examine your motivations IMO. Check some of @s0mmi 's stuff...

When we're talking about softs one needs to be keeping the London markets in mind. That goes for London cocoa, white sugar, and robusta coffee (all ICE EU) to use as a cross-check for projections and general correlation. CC for instance is a USD denominated contract but cocoa is traditionally...

Dude, vega. You should not be selling options until you know all the inputs which drive the pricing of an option. You were selling tail risk puts with VIX at like 10-11. It went to 50.

Key word right there, meaning don't just sell vol mindlessly or you'll get carried out eventually. Sell it opportunistically. But it opportunistically.

Market makers are fully hedged. Their goal is to transfer that risk elsewhere after selling you the option be it with either already existing option inventory that offsets the position or via the underlying itself (delta hedging).

ESignal pro-tip: if you have to use fully synthetic spreads (i.e. Cattle crush or other inter-instrument stuff) you can use a 1440 timeframe for daily bars (and it will use intraday data) or if you have 12.7+ you can use things like 7D rather than W. The only reason the exchange traded spreads...

Underlying + puts == synthetic call. You're just scaling into one.

Only a 100 pts off but nice call.

Yeah so let me buy a call option your house where you carry the majority of the risk and then market it as some kind of thing helping you buy a home. This shit sucks badly and is symptomatic of a market that is no longer structurally sound nor respectful of the fact that one's primary residence...

Too funny, so the takeover corp (ROVI) acquired Tivo and then kept the ticker TIVO but now assumed the equity trading for ROVI itself? Sounds like a great idea!

It's not a matter if they cross or not it's a matter of relative performance of each instrument. That said it is a risk on vs risk off trade and also a dollar strong vs dollar weak trade depending on the context.

Hah yes. House prices in the bay totally went down post 2008. I don't know why anyone would think otherwise but I can think of types of people who'd like to pretend it was so.