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Short options for your 'barbell' is like directly opposite what Taleb says. You limit your upside and have an unlimited downside.

@birzos, you seem to have a very interesting background, could I PM you some questions if you don't mind? (Your PM seems to be turned off)

I see a lot of ads for physical commodity trading in my country (Singapore), but all of them require a few years of experience, at the minimum 3 but usually 5-10. But I don't see any junior positions at all. How does one even break into this industry? Have to get into a graduate programme at BP...

BTW does anyone know how Fisher comes up with the monthly change in trend days or if it's still valid? It reminds me a lot of Martin Armstrong's "trend-change" phases in his model. Actually a lot of things in ACD are reminiscent of that, except that Armstrong often is rather incoherent and...

Just to add to my post above -- so my NL-Deriv essentially is a contexualized A/C score given the next day's results. On the day itself I might give it a score of 2, but with the knowledge of the next day, my 2 might really be worth a 0 or a -1 might be worth a -2.5. The A-Derivative is the...

Has anyone traded FX options with IB before? How is the liquidity like? On TOS OnDemand, XDE and other Nasdaq FX small options seem to have very bad liquidity even just 2 strikes ITM.

Following on from what Mav alluded to earlier, I have been looking at NL derivatives. I take the derivative of the NL itself as well as the derivative of the daily scores based on As and Cs, with respect to the day. I just use Excel. It's quite interesting, for example, for the AUDUSD, it...

Taleb at his old fund actually had people managing selling ATM premium for him while he bought the wings. I think Spitznagel probably kept doing the same.

If you read the book you'll also see how so many people use it in different ways at the end. I also skimmed that section originally but there are some interesting insights there for the more intraday oriented traders. One guy used a 1 minute OR based on the second month futures (while trading...

I find that the 3-day rolling pivot really does hold up better than the one day one with FX on an intraday time frame. That was what Fisher used in the recent CQG video too.

Yeah that's one of Gartman's Rules Mark Fisher likes to quote.

EURUSD had touched my A Up from the London session and looked to be going up just before the US PPI data release then it crashed all the way down to my A Down before bouncing up on a short squeeze, making a test bouncing up and finally succeeding in breaking through the third time. Then it...

All the pairs I am looking at are also looking extremely correlated now, basically the same movements but different magnitudes especially in the commodity currencies.

The last few days produced a lot of 3s on my NLs already for currencies. Everything indicated that the USD seemed to be headed for a huge downside move. Looks like people are blaming that on lack of specifics in Trump's speech.

I told my father about the ACD method and told him to watch Mark Fisher's seminar on Youtube. He's a programmer and he came up with a very simple program based on ACD that works surprisingly well, based on backtesting and so far a short limited live testing period. it's just based on buying...

What's up everyone? Still learning to use ACD better here. In Mark's video with CQG demonstrating his Fisher bars, he actually seems to use the 3-day pivot range for intra-day trading now rather than the previous day pivot. I have been using the previous day one but after someone helped me code...

Tbh I'm not sure if I should post this in case anyone from the companies involved reads it. I'd I have an offer from a small prop firm in my country (Singapore) No capital from my end. Profit share 50%. They will mentor me in the beginning months. I also have an offer from Propex to do...

OK I feel very dumb now, I just found more than few stocks which have pretty good volatility and liquidity but are not TSLA, Netflix etc. I haven't found anything that is not talked about on Twitter yet, but it's a start. :D

Do you average down? Is this an option-selling strategy?