Your all idiots for debating if this >> then that >> costs this much >> no costs that much.
You won't know till its all said and done. Meanwhile your getting delicious moves up & down.
While you fools mentally masterbate. :]
Anything close to ~ 40 is a good short IMO.
These kind of events/moves almost always re-visit the lows before they turn (if they turn at all :])
Good Luck.