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  1. ogarbitrage

    Backlash stirs in US against foreign worker visas

    There is no such thing as an "American job". There are jobs. And there are jobs. Your choice of adjective belies your subjective bias and muddies your reasoning. Jobs are not patriotic. A job doesn't care who fought for it or what freedoms it has or what infrastructure was used to "make"...
  2. ogarbitrage

    Backlash stirs in US against foreign worker visas

    You have never seen "unregulated" capitalism in the whole of your existence on this planet. Please don't confused overtly regulated pseudo protectionist cronyism with laissez-faire capitalism as they are night and day.
  3. ogarbitrage

    dbphoenix

    Do you honestly believe this hyperbole? Is it your perception that the entirety of GOP/TP constituents want children on the street with no money, no care, no parents, no structure?
  4. ogarbitrage

    Contango is back

    Any is better than none. :) In terms of WTI or Brent, very little, however I think it helps to monitor some of the large exporting ports to gauge traffic or compare live traffic to media reports. I also monitor the primary ports for the products to see where gas/heat/resid are flowing...
  5. ogarbitrage

    Contango is back

    Glad to see some discussion in this forum. I get the tanker rates from Marex Spectron and I monitor www.marinetraffic.com for port loads. Word of warning, marinetraffic is addicting as hell (or maybe it's just me).
  6. ogarbitrage

    Contango is back

    Large overhang of African cargoes weighing on the market coupled with Libyan supply coming back online and poor refinery margins in EU. Lagos, Nigeria tankers: Lome, Togo tankers: Primary crude tanker routes: TD7 - North Sea to UK (80k MT). TD17 - Primorsk (Urals) to Wilhelmshaven, UK...
  7. ogarbitrage

    CL move today

    Seems to be expected given the draw in supply and the strength of physical. Phys has been trading +$1-3 over the front month future. There was also considerable selling of the backs that caused some spreads to rally while the front was only up ~.70.
  8. ogarbitrage

    Contango is back

    Still a bit premature. They both seem to be stubbornly backwardated for the moment.
  9. ogarbitrage

    Single stock futures

    SSFs are typically used as a tool for hedging.
  10. ogarbitrage

    How does Eurodollar (GE) volume shift?

    Is the current expectation for a rate increase in Q1/Q2 15?
  11. ogarbitrage

    Looks like Victor Niederhoffer blew up again

    Can you two idiots stop shitting all over this thread?
  12. ogarbitrage

    oil coil, buyers higher

    It doesn't show that at all actually, and refiners sell into the wholesale system, retail assets notwithstanding.
  13. ogarbitrage

    oil coil, buyers higher

    Demand for crude is derived from demand for the products. Supply is growing while demand declining, hence the steep backwardation in the forward curve. The developed world, in general, is largely working towards energy efficiency and structural evolution.
  14. ogarbitrage

    Portfolio Hedging Suggestions...

    They have export facilities under construction and will be the first to take advantage of the international natural gas arbitrage.
  15. ogarbitrage

    Portfolio Hedging Suggestions...

    VIX is a good option for the entire portfolio. I started purchasing OTM calls in the front 2-3 months to hedge my own equities and I roll the calls to lower strikes on large up days in the S&P. As someone who watches natgas every day, I still don't see the rational behind the UNG position...
  16. ogarbitrage

    Portfolio Hedging Suggestions...

    Ratioed VIX call spreads. EEM outright puts or low-cost collars. GDX outright puts or low-cost collars. Just sell UNG - it's a constantly decaying asset. Why even own it?
  17. ogarbitrage

    UCan'tEatBonds says the USA and Europe is doomed

    How do I get this paid posting gig? Sounds lucrative.
  18. ogarbitrage

    Looks like Victor Niederhoffer blew up again

    Vic you seem okay to me. I think the market humbles us all who stick with it and you seem to have responded with a quiet dignity that is lost on many. I hope you continue to write and give interviews as I think you have a rich body of experience in risk management. I have found pearls of...
  19. ogarbitrage

    Full setup automated trading system

    Try www.tradewex.com/
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