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Isn't it the same to say it the other way around - "The reason the number of jobs is the same as 10 years ago is because unemployment is at 10%" It doesn't explain anything.

The IEA has just recently officially admitted for the first time that world wide conventional oil production has probably peaked in 2006 and will never surpass that high mark *ever* in the future. The fact that oil can be this high when the economy is in the worst recession since world war II...

Size of capital matters in investing. The return of the investment has to be large enough to cover the resources you've put in (time, energy, capital, opportunity cost ...etc). Your idea of investnig in your future is admirable. However without accumulating a large enough capital base any...

I have a question. By arbitrarily limiting the number of trades (presumably due to margin or risk constraint) we're randomly dropping trades from the portfolio and thus risk missing the best trades that make the day/week/month. How do we manage that? If we don't manage it we're basically...

perceived oil shock in 2012? 2012 end of the world premium?

Hi Comintel, I've been playing around the same idea for a while but was put off by the interest charge. With a IB retail account we recieve no interest for the HKD we hold while paying a 1.x% interest for the USD we borrow. With a leveraged position say 10x that's a 1x% hit per year and...

Curve fitting is just a term. All strategies are based on the assumptions you make about the market. When your assumption is not valid and does not represent reality then the strategy falls apart. People give it a name and call it curve fitting when it fact it could be better termed as having...

I suggest you go with interactive brokers. They have an office in Admiralty (pacific place) and all their staffs speak good english (and some only english). Price is good and you can trade world wide products. Also they have a server farm in HK. E-Trade no longer has a physical office in HK...

>You'll know very quickly when market is moving from away from your regime It seems you are suggesting there is tradable persistency in market "theme". Would we get "theme whipsaw" like trends? Is it more stable than trends? >and you'll know which strategy to activate next. Are you...

I've found that thinking is more effective than observing. When you look at a chart the human mind is wired to find patterns that are not actually there. Also, what works is what you can't see with your eyes but instead have to see with your mind. When I say thinking I mean making an assumption...

The easiest way to solve the job problem may be to simply mandate 3 days of public holidays per week. Friday, saturday, and Sunday. If that's not enough let's make thursday a holiday too. Wages will go way up, and so does inflation but most people don't have a lot of cash on hand anyways...

Every computer analysis tool follows the rule of garbage in garbage out or vice versa. I would say if you have good inputs it would be a handy tool to help automate some research tasks. The problem however is that if the user already have good inputs it wouldn't take much time to do the...

The USD is backed by crude oil (from saudi arabia). It is the one thing that absolutely needed USD to buy. See what happned to Saddam Hussein when he began accepting Euro for his oil. If there is no need for crude oil in the future, instead of asking what would happened to the big oil...

maybe this would be of interest Photographic Evidence that gNo. 1 Written on Top of Rust: http://willyloman.wordpress.com/2010/05/29/pcc-772-cheonan-photographic-evidence-that-no-1-written-on-top-of-rust/ Direct link (in korean)...

It's a good ball park figure.

Is this exactly why we're at 0% rate? Maybe we should consider the possibility that rate would stay at zero indefinitely.

The simple answer is the bulk of the move happens before 11:00am. The same argument holds true for saying ALL daily high/low happens before 15:00pm. The only problem is we have zero move left to profit from.

I'm a "Hongkie" (Hong Kong). I guess that makes me living in China.

Volvo is a dead brand anyways otherwise it won't be sold at a loss by Ford. Remember Ford bought it at $6.5 bln back in 1999. The idea is not to revive Volvo as an appealing brand to the West. $1.8 Bln is a cheap price to pay to get their hands on one of the safest car technology in the world...

RealVNC is an application that allows remote access to your computer. It's a very common (and legitimate) application but because of what it is capable of (remote access) the application is being reported as virus in some anti virus softtware. It is packaged into multichart so that you can...