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Lol you are wrong and you want to argue? Don t be childish. Of course there are incertainties. Sometimes I would be wrong and I dont care. But elaborate scenarios with probas is my job so dont tell me it is impossible because you cant. And you want me to send you a blotter?! Lol Man I am not...

Volpunter There is a big mistake in your reasoning. Obviously, you confound acts of God and financial failure. In terms of probability, it is impossible to predict a tsunami, earthquake, September 11 ... But a failure?! If you do your homework, of course! For example, you could easily predict...

Example of weak support. EURUSD in 2014. Support is tested 5, 6 times... Every rebound is weak Many occurrences with prices close to 1% ... This is weak because buyers are not enough strong to hurt sellers.

Mush This is really a good question. A strong support for me in a world without Peg? Horizontal, rounded number, tested 2 times, max 3 times, kiss kiss and good bye (V bottoms). You got generally one extreme price, and 1, 2 attempts to reach this extreme price (without success). To resume, a...

Of course the tape tells the tale! That was true 100 years ago, this is still true today! Since November '14, EURCHF was attacked every week, just look at the graph from October to December. You should have notice that it became more and more dangerous to be short CHF. And the tape doesn't tell...

Jesse, LTCM is a really good example! For the moment, we begin to ear that some brokers / hedge funds lost tons of money because of leverage, but we can only see the top of the iceberg! We can imagine like during russian crisis in 1998 a big fall of the S&P... And a bigger rebound with new...

Well what is the matter to get some ego? Trading is like pro sport No ego = no gain Ego pushes you to develop your skills and experience. Ego is why you want to be the best. But ok too much ego and arrogance= you will failed. It is a question of balance. In my case I dont care being right or...

Bad example EURCHF was never on an uptrend during the last year. You may think about carry trade and that was not a good trend too.

My friend You could have edit the same post 2 and half years ago.... same p/e superb new products tons of cash. ... AND shorters won max with 45 pct drawdown! Of course I want to be contrarian! Because lemmings die Pigs die Best pros take it all THESE ARE THE RULES Chris Mac

Piezoe, interesting, you got some good arguments but some contradictions too. For example, you told being cautious when Barron's (or any newspapers by the way or Goldman Sachs) is really positive with a stock. Of course ! And don't you think Apple (or Tesla) is not "hype" and being in front of...

You know, everyone can give his opinion, right or wrong, who cares? On ET, I search for good and bad ideas ! Everyone knows that there are not only geniuses and pros on ET. But understanding everyone's opinion may help you to take advantage of that. So to continue : @USD185 now, what is the...

Hi Money Trust, I can try to answer because I faced several times the same problem : Find a nice entry point, money flows, I begin to say to myself, OMG, i need THIS MONEY in my pocket before market takes all! Half time it is a good decision Half time I can't believe that after I sold...

Thank you for all your replies! Sorry but I am still not convinced! Question of common sense I would say : Well, I am not an expert but I prefer to buy a car ready after 3 min charge rather than 30 min...

When I look at Tesla charts, I can see only one direction : SOUTH. USD150, 125... Maybe USD100 in one year?! Could someone explain how to be bullish @USD200?

Sometimes Yen is pro risk-adversion, sometimes not ! In the second case, you know where you can put your thermometer ! :confused: But I agree, on a short-term basis, Yen could be a big winner and aversion could make a come back. Volatility is already back! See graph. Seems that we break...

Ahah how Brits could speak about ECB? ECB is GERMANY and GERMANS don't want unlimited DEBT !!!! PUNKT !

Jesse, Thank you for your reply, lot of contents! I remembered last time I was really negative with Apple. At that time, I remembered, we were above USD700. And I said to myself. "Seems this is the top". I was right... and wrong ! Sure Apple lost 45%, but I could not imagine that Apple after...

JesseJames, 25 years of markets deserve respect. Sorry that someone doesn't understand the simple principle "what you give you get". But everyone here is not like that! Concerning your calls, yesterday what a great move for Apple ! Nice ! But I might be wrong, it looks like a dead cat bounce...

Investor for more than 13 years, trader for more than 10 years

Best strat ever : buy stocks near tops, you push them and create new highs! Perpetual winning strategy! Pros know! Apple @ USD106 is a discount ! Biotech too !!!! Buy ! Just buy ! Free lunch, easy game, win win! Personally my first target for Apple is USD80/90 ! But nowadays, everyone wins...