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Since I am still only working on my second million the closest thing I can come to a swap is a leveraged ETF. CDS is probably not the most elegant way to do this anyways. I like options but the bid/ask pricing is a total scam. There is plenty of time, years by my estimation, to figure out a...

I agree with not putting anything on until the first or even second hint of trouble. I like your idea of using a spread but is there a way of doing it with swaps so there is an option style reward profile that will gain from the volatility...similar to what they did in The Big Short? What...

Maybe the best way to trade this is to start writing the script for The Big Short 2: EU Down.

I agree. The unraveling of the EU is probably at least another 5 years out. However, when it does happen it'll probably happen more suddenly than people expect. Whoever gets this trade right will be the next Soros.

What are your thoughts on how to profit from this strange new European bond bubble? I'm thinking it continues to inflate until the EU implodes and finally decides to break up. Is it as simple as buying gold and oil while shorting bunds and euros? Is there a more asymmetric way to trade it...

Closed position in TMF @ $31.62 on 8/13/19 for a 312 day return of 101%.

Closed position in TMF @ $31.62 on 8/13/19 for a 1020 day return of 33%.

Closed position in SOXL yesterday(8/8/19) @ $152.15 for a 289 day return of 48%.

Closed position in SOXL yesterday(8/8/19) @ $152.15 for a 503 day loss of 3%.

Closed remaining $SOXL yesterday (8/8/19) @ $152.15 for a 549 day return of 8%.

The key is to spend more on things that appreciate and less on things that depreciate. Most people do the opposite of this.

Closed partial position in UPRO today (7/26/19) @ $58.95 for a 214 day return of 100%.

Closed partial position in UPRO today (7/26/19) @ $58.95 for a 275 day return of 33%.

Disagree with index changes. Closed position in $VOX today (7/10/19) @ $89.68 for a 667 day return of 0.3% + divs.

Opened position in TSLA today (5/22/19) @ $194.80 per share.

Opened position in ERX today (12/27/18) @ $13.60 per share.

Opened position in UPRO today (12/24/18) @ $29.48 per share.

Opened position in TQQQ today (12/20/18) @ $36.68 per share.

Opened position in BUD today (12/20/18) @ $68.04 per share.

Interested in small caps. Opened position in TNA today (12/17/18) @ $48.56 per share.