Search results

It strictly depends on your mental organization. If your logic is dominant then you should see the convex figure. If not then you should perceive it as concave.

Here is one of my favorite 3D illusions.

Here is the answer.

One sheet of paper is roughly 0.0038”. So, 0.0038 X 2^100 = 2 x 10^28 miles that is approximately 800 trillion times the distance between the Earth and the Sun.

Although perception requires attention, unattended stimuli can subtly affect us. Moreover, implanted ideas and images can automatically-unintentionally, effortlessly, and without awareness-prime how we interpret and recall events. Our Intuition, if not trained and not amplified, could be easily...

"God, give us grace to accept the things that are true, courage to challenge the things which are untrue, and the wisdom to distinguish the one from the other". Reinhold Niebuhr

Imagine folding a sheet of paper on itself 100 times. Roughly how thick would it then be?

Is the dot closer to the top or to the bottom of the triangle? If your answer is “top” you are among 98.4% of people who suffer from this visual illusion (the dot is actually at the dead center of this triangle).The reason why it is so important is because in the price charts certain points...

There is another side to it that everyone seems missing. This very anomaly could be reliably exploited by the "slower" traders using the knowledge that there are HFT algos out there that target price micro-momentums. I am surprised that nobody sees it. I have been preaching it for quite some...

I guess it would do no harm to publish a simple formula I use to assess the Intuition Efficiency. It would be interesting to know what numbers could be achieved. My best subjects exhibited the numbers in 500 to 600 areas. It is an objective test that anyone can perform. Here how it works...

Neural impulses travel a million times slower than a computer's internal messages, yet our brain humbles any computer with its instant recognition. "You can buy a chess machine that beats a master," notes vision researcher Donald Hoffman, "but can't yet buy a vision machine that beats a...

I should make a poster out this blip and show it to every rookie that enters my office. Cheers, MAESTRO

Your experience is bang on! The answer is 50%! I have conducted a huge and elaborate study on 100 different time frames, tick bars, volume bars etc. The probability is always 50%! More so; if you normalize any chart using 1% step function you will get extremely close to fair coin based RW...

Yes, however, we are venturing here into a very sensitive area of a strictly proprietary research. All I can tell that a good friend of mine is running a very successful volatility arbitrage hedge fund using the MHP type of strategy. It uses options and option synthetics to create a stable vol...

The “Monty Hall” paradox provides a classic example of people’s perception of the probabilities immutability.

The key to reliable harvesting of other people’s perception is their strong, intuitive and deeply rooted belief that probabilities are immutable!

Consider a 5 stock portfolio assembled randomly from a 50-stock universe. In this universe there are four winners out of which one is enormous! Suppose that one of the stocks we picked is a winner. Let us further specify two types of portfolios: in one type, the winner is huge compared to other...

Let’s look at the problem of finding the probability that a portfolio with two stocks has at least one winner. The probability is 3/4, assuming the equal probability of gain or loss. Let us now suppose that we have got the information that the randomly selected stock is a winner. Our question...

There are problems on probabilities that lead to apparently counter-intuitive results and are even a source of embarrassment for experts and renowned mathematicians. Those are the best market indicators ever! The probability of correlated perception is much greater than any probability observed...

Here are a few classic questions to test your perception of probabilities: 1. A box contains green and yellow buttons in unknown proportions. I take out 10 and 8 are yellow. Which am I more likely to get next, green or yellow? 2. In a group of 50 people what are the chances that 2 of them...