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The market is very efficient and efficient market hypothesis holds up to a certain degree, but it does so in a very week form. But as it is the nature of any highly competitive activity, whoever is participating in search of profits have to have some sort of a competitive advantage (this is...

ignore the last post.

one last question, so without having Tradestation or whatever software spit out 10,000 equity curves of randomly generated trades, can i make it spit out 1 equity curve of randomly generated trades and re-sample those trades 10,000 times? would that be the same thing as having Tradestation spit...

Noworries, gbos, thank you so much for the info. i think i got it now.

oooh, ok i understand, so i need to assign a number to the trades that were origionally generated, then have excel pull a number between the total number of trades, for example, in this sheet i have 93 trades that were generated by the strategy in the order listed at the left, so on the right, i...

so like rearranging the trades that were generated by the actual strategy 100 or however many times huh? did i understand that correctly? if so, can you explain how the results would be interpreted? for example, after i order the summary statistic of interest from hi-low what will the 95%...

guys i really appreciate your comments, however i think i didn't communicate what I'm trying to do properly. i already know how to generate a random equity curve using a monte carlo function in excel. here is what the curves look like in excel, these are not using any actual price data, the...

I'm wondering if anyone knows how to use excel to generate multiple runs of random trades given a specific time series? can it even be done using excel? Are there special programs that are designed to do this? i know that wealth-lab has a Monte-Carlo lab add in that is able to do exactly this...

well of course what i stated above is my opinion and nothing else. i simply used my own logic...although i don't think it is hard for anyone to see that, and i wouldn't consider world class poker players to be gamblers. again, although it is backed by a logic, this is entirely my opinion.

lol, i would argue that a gambler does not, this is one of the characteristics of a gambler. gambling implies you are taking more risk than what is tolerable for your "Condition", therefore, if you were managing risk, your risk would be tolerable and you would not be gambling. so you cannot be...

agreed! Trading is another activity that involves risk like walking out to your car when its hailing ice cubes or...asking your girlfriends mother if she likes anal. <img src="http://img167.imageshack.us/img167/4774/gamble2vc3.gif"

lol, I thought so, is trading a gamble? I think that question is comparable to someone asking if today's temperature is too hot and here's why: <img src="http://img141.imageshack.us/img141/3006/gamblevm0.gif" <br> so in that sense, anything that involves risk, including life, can be termed...

Electric, you sound like you stepped on some bird crap in "lion country".

http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/search.php?s=&action=showresults&searchid=1466115&sortby=lastpost&sortorder=descending You're welcome!

The world distributes probabilities randomly; we just are so easy to fool. They say “good fortune favors the brave”, well what about bad fortune? That too favors the brave. The only problem is the brave and less fortunate are not here to talk about it, all we have are the ones that jumped...

I Trade 4 Money, The most valuable and unforgettable lessons can often only be learned through experience and are almost impossible to be taught. With all respect, it appears that your arrogance far exceeds your knowledge of the subject. I only hope that once you truly are wise enough to...

I would disagree but what the hell do I know. shanoballs

Would it be too cruel to call you an idiot at this point? LOL im just kidding, couldn't resist. :D shanobals

Something along the lines of, "If you put enough monkeys in a room with typewriters, one of them will write the Iliad" comes to mind.

<div style="text-align: justify;"><span style=";font-family:trebuchet ms;font-size:100%;" >Randomness:</span> <span style=";font-family:trebuchet ms;font-size:100%;" >How do I know that my trading performance is not just due to luck? If the last 50 trades I took had made money for me...