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The thinking is that the average PE multiple of Yahoo and Ebay is 63. If GOOG earns $5/share as expected then the $315 price is well justified. One may argue with the assumptions but they are based on some very logical reasoning. Throw in very strong growth prospects "going forward" and you...

Maria has had some very interesting interviews with Lee Raymond that discusses this very topic. You should not be investing in energy if you do not know who he is. OPEC does not tell the truth all the time, LOL. A lot of cheating among the members as you can well imagine. I think the US...

Oil and interest rates were much higher when the peanut farmer was in office. So please explain the connection???? SteveD

For oil to be TOO HIGH is to assume that oil was priced correctly when the move started. What if oil was priced TOO LOW to begin with? It appears to have had very little effect on the economy so far. SteveD

OneWay, you are probably a nice guy but for some reason you just don't understand the real estate market. It is simply supply and demand. Mr. Roach was trying to imply that real estate was no different than any other class of investment. That is simply not so. Only commodities have some...

Roach is incorrect. If a house has a "certificate of occupancy" it will have a value. It may be low but there is always a value there. Try that with a busted company, Enron bonds, etc etc. They all can and do with relative frequency go to ZERO. And, even if the house has no value, the...

The method is to place a $2 bet on all 8 horses but when they are rounding the turn for the wire you can then quadruple your bet on the three leaders. The winners will more than make up for the $10 you lost on the 5 that did not pay. This is why trading is so much more better than...

Why do we have such a problem with everyone in the world trying to get in the US all the time?? With this major decline coming soon I would assume people would be trying to immigrate to Germany, France, South America, China or perhaps, Iran or Syria. It just amazes me how silly people are...

I don't understand the connection of the 30 year bond and shorting REIT's??? Where will you live if you sell now and don't buy another house till 09? Just curious. SteveD

Loss of jobs in a concentrated market and very high interest rates, i.e. 9-10%. If rates go to 10% a large portion of people will not be able to afford a new home especially "starter" type housing for newly marrieds. But rates are not going to jump from 5%-10% over the next 60 days. It...

For some reason the Internet has developed a type of person that DEMANDS proof of absolute success and FREE, of course. Do you go to a cleaners and DEMAND the names of 10 people that have had their clothes cleaned successfully????? Doctors?? Lawyers??? Car Repair?? People this is a...

TRA 86 hit just as over building in apartments was heating up, couple that with a huge drop in oil and the SL's were doing joint ventures with developers and everything came crashing down at once. The 80's were probably the low point for real estate. A lot of laws were changed from that...

Churchill said "It is better to remain silent and thought a fool, than to speak and remove all doubt". SteveD

You make my point exactly. Everybody looks at the same chart for TA. Yet the large per centage of traders of Enron were going long and lost their money. Some with tight stops and, of course, some with no stops, LOL. You should be proud of your self for making some money shorting Enron...

Then a lot of money was made when you sold Enron short as it started down. At what price did you get that short? And at what price did you cover? I do not mean to be rude, but this is exactly what everyone says about TA. In hindsight everyone is absolutely correct in pointing out that...

TA used by itself would have had you buying on "support" all the way from $80 to .80 on Enron. Same with a few dozen other stocks of the last few years. TA is useful but one must keep the overall market and the basic fundamentals of the particular company and sector in mind at the same...

This is a perfect example of how the technical traders get killed with a stock like GOOG. It's "too high", "over valued", fibonacci retracement" "infield fly rule" etc etc. Everyone keeps comparing it to some "dot.com" nonsense but this company really makes a lot of money. Now, boys and...

With all due respect, your analysis doesn't make any sense. Please read my previous post. IF GOOG earns $5/share is an important part of the equation!!! This is not some money losing dot.com company. They have real earnings and will have a very real multiple to reflect those earnings. One...

I think you are missing important facts in order to support some silly paranoia theory on manipulation, LOL. IF GOOG earns $5/share, as expected, and you use the multiple of 63 then the stock will trade at $315/share. This is the fundamental method of stock evaluation. Now, you can...

I certainly don't mean to attack you but: The end of the US has been predicted by first the work ethic of the strong German post WWII, now look at them.. In a survival recession and going down. Next the Japanese were going to buy up the US real estate market!! Oh my God. They left the...