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Is option like credit spread also free to trade?

I work on a full time job and commute is long in days that I don’t work from home. I now usually try to wake up early to do some coding before wife and kid wake up. Wake up early like 5am do bring a lot perks into life, since I can make some progress in without retreating from family life. And...

Maybe let me try this: If I find a way to pick the strategy from the candidate pool that works for one week and it also works for the next following week. Is this going to work if I apply it in the future ? Is there any logic flaw here?

You’re kinda right, I’m just wandering whether there are some common practices in the field.

Let’s say I have 10 strategies, and all of them are sort of useful sometimes in history and sometimes not. My questions is: how can I construct a backtest to inform me that which one of my strategies will more likely to win in the foreseeable future. Any hint or reference is welcome.

Maybe something like this? https://www.history.com/news/1929-stock-market-crash-warning-signs

Yes, I have been following. Do you think this is almost certain ? I see a lot Big Banks forecast a deep dive but fast recovery.

I like your way of giving concrete numbers, but this seems to be metrics that shows we already in a recession/depression and not predicting signals. And we don't have a way of showing the hit is not going to recover soon or fundamentally change the outlook of the economy. I think its hard to...

If that really happens. What key index or numbers we shall look at in the next few months to witness this historical moment to be.