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    Two speed Europe and need for new currency

    The rest of it really wasn't necessary. Anything that remotely looks and feels like a plan is better than what there is at this point.
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    CBOE total exchange put/call ratio suggests equity rally ahead

    Wait, you only look at indicators which say "GUARANTEED PREDICTIVE POWER!!!" on the box? All right, to each his own.
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    CBOE total exchange put/call ratio suggests equity rally ahead

    Miles ahead of you. http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?threadid=222103 It also has nothing to do with the VIX being "reliable" (whatever that means). The fact the VIX is not going up just means that even though a lot of people are frantically buying put options, there are quite...
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    Anyone know when QE3 will get announced?

    What will you all say if there is no QE3 adn the economy doesn't crash again? I haven't really heard anyone even so much as suggest it could happen. I think everybody will be singing love and praise to the Bernank and his great policies which saved our economy. I would consider "No QE3"...
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    By How Much Is The Market Oversold Right Now?

    Going by teh reactions here, reasonably oversold. Going by particular measures, it's up there in the list of most oversold events in the past 20 years and going by me I think it's unlikely to go down much more although it might stay depressed longer (i.e. will continue to range while people go...
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    48% of Americans see Depression in next 12 months

    Has anybody even considered the possibility that the economy may actually complete the cycle and go back to full health? Nothing that has happened recently indicates that this is no longer possible. Unemployment is still high but that may be structural (as in forever) and could at peak...
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    Trading and Dating/social status

    Fixed. You can just lie about results they'll believe pretty much anything as long as the story isn't full of holes. Anyway, (money + social contribution & network + some other factors)/3 roughly equals status so since you have no social contribution and you have to be lucky to have the other...
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    Anonymous Threatens Ben Bernanke

    Send us a picture of you and your 10 mates when you go and "occupy" a public space all right?
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    Anonymous Threatens Ben Bernanke

    Oh my god. A YOUTUBE VIDEO!!!! THE WORLD IS A-CHANGING! Fucking hell, as soon as more than one attempt is actually made for his life (god forbid) and there are any (as in more than none) large-scale protests against the Fed I might pay attention to the loonies. Edit: and a youtube video...
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    Overreact much?

    Yes it is. Anyway this thread isn't about the economy. It's about whether it's hip to be bear and that has unsatisfying correlation with whether the economy is looking weak right.
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    Overreact much?

    Oh, and here's the attachment, I forgot, but really doesn't everybody know this already? By the way, another observation is that the VIX usually reacts to these kind of extremes and that it hasn't at all. Premium sellers are gobbling up all this activity. It's probably because there is no...
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    Overreact much?

    Well, maybe this deserves a thread. The 5-day MA of the CBOE equity-only P/C ratio is now above the level it was at during the March 2009 lows. If we sink any further they'll probably hit the lowest point of the last decade(s). Graph attached (p/c is inverted and I think it doesn't show the...
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    Goldman fined $10 million, agrees to stop trading "huddles"

    Wait, so if Goldman analyst A writes a report that the price of X is likely to go up over the long term and analyst B has a brainstorming session with some clients during which they conclude that in the near term it might be nice to short X that is illegal and ends up costing them $10 million...
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    Godzilla rabbit born in Japan?

    It doesn't even look like a rabbit. Just put a hamster (or w/e it is) in a cage with a bunch of rabbits, go "OMFG RADIATION AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!" and you get 200k views on youtube? Bunch of retards.
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    why the market will fall much further

    Lots of funds don't even try to "buy the dips". They just buy what they like on fundamentals (through some kind of strategy which they advertise with) and they're certainly not going to be swinging between emotional extremes. It's not their money anyway and as long as they stick to the strategy...
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    Comex will be out of silver in 5 months at this rate

    Not this shit again. Go buy your stupid shinies and stop bothering everybody else with it.
  17. L

    why the market will fall much further

    3) Well their yields haven't been bad for a few years so since both the Nikkei and the S&P500 aren't total return indices I would want to look at what the total return has been since 2005 or something to say whether those Japan lovers were all that wrong. 4) Yes, of course I agree with that...
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    Republican Mainstream Flirts with Brief US Default

    It's called war. And it's not just the war on Iraq that I'm talking about... Global military empires are high maintenance not to mention all the domestic wars going on against whatever can concievably be fought (drugs, terror, clowns).
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    Republican Mainstream Flirts with Brief US Default

    Gives the people something to talk about. Nothing will actually happen. 1) There have been a number of government shutdowns in the past due to debt ceiling issues; there is no discernable pattern in their effect on markets. Certainly not on interest rates. 2) The treasury decides whether a...
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    why the market will fall much further

    1) I do not necessarily believe what I wrote, but I consider it among the options of what may happen in the future (which as you know nobody can predict) 2) Mutual fund cash levels are low not in the least because they have been buying hand over fist despite lack of much inflow from their...
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