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use the neural net between your ears.

How could you possibly conclude who is better? better at what? the question is ludicrous and there is no reasonable answer, basically, the ques is BS. It's like asking, "who is the better president, clinton or bush?" better at what? ...bj's in the west wing? Better to ask, "what are their...

No, I am not that idiot "Anonymouth". He's too stupid to be me. Turok is back guys, at least in a limited capacity, posting under his real name... http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=3535&perpage=6&pagenumber=5 Live long & prosper Protrader#1

Anyone using SL4? I want to try it. Proof in the puddin' is eating it. Who has experience with SL4?

anyone with experience w/this site? http://www.channelingstocks.com/ hey RockTheLurker, have you checked out these guys yet?

johnborton, Just curious, how did alfatrade do this last week? I've had some great days but I am thinking of a trial, always looking for new ideas. What do they trade, any unusual names? Edit: WHOA, should of looked before I asked. They have lost big this last week. Looks like...

threei & commisso, if the "odds are not random if there is an edge, their disctibutiuon is, so outcome of each given trade is not predictable", i think it would be safe to say the odds in this case are >50% and are predictable at least to this extent.

candle, if you lose $1.00 on your losers but make $2.00 on your winners, then in actuality, for all intents and purposes, you are picking more "winners" than "losers". your "winning" odds in this particular instance you cite is actually greater than 50%. you must define "winners" and "losers"...

haha! PS Anonymouth, you have a real problem.

60% you idiot! (feel better now :)

ddefina, precisely. well put.

No, the odds remain 50%. You are just as likely to get either a heads or tails. each successive outcome (coin flip) is independent of the previous flip. The coin has no "memory" of previous outcomes and cannot influence future outcomes. However, the chances of getting 99 heads in a row is very...

If your point is on the "micro" level the outcome of each and every trade is random, ie 50%, then you must also conclude that on the "macro" level the outcome remains 50%. I don't agree with this. If this is true, there is no "edge". Is this what you are asserting?

I think what you asking is "Is it possible to produce a successful result over time with random entries but specific exits?" In other words, can one just jump in anywhere in a random fashion, and then once in, work the trade to a successful conclusion (on average, of course)? Is this what...

"Don't make things harder than they actually are. Just trade the trend with discipline, and let probability sort out your P&L over the long run." CANDLETRADER :-)

"There is, in this regard, a pertinent story about the great American linguist and anthropologist Edward Sapir, who had allegedly been working with an informant on an American Indian language with a grammar that he was having trouble sorting out. Finally, he felt he had caught on to the...

"As we analyze a thing into its parts or into its properties, we tend to magnify these, to exaggerate their apparent independence, and to hide from ourselves (at least for a time) the essential integrity and individuality of the composite whole"

"...a child of 4 who did not know his letters and could not read music managed to recognize the different songs in a book from one day or one month to another, simply by their titles and from the look of the pages. For him, the general effect of each page constituted a special scheme, whereas to...

"Even the most renaissance of renaissance men in these days cannot hope to know more than a very small fraction of what is known. The "general systems man", therefore, is constantly taking leaps in the dark, constantly jumping to conclusions on insufficient evidence, constantly, in fact, making...

"It will be objected that this sharpness or clarity involves certain distortions or misrepresentations, depending on over-simplifications. But this is the perennial dilemma of the teacher: the teaching of facts and figures vs. the teaching of truth. To convey a model the teacher must reify and...