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  1. M

    Market observations and actions

    Thanks for your patience and time to reply.
  2. M

    Market observations and actions

    I would like to have a further explanation if you don't mind taking the time. Thank you.:)
  3. M

    Market observations and actions

    Not true in your case but it's true for me.
  4. M

    Market observations and actions

    Even the resilient Straits Times Index and Singapore market has succumbed to global stock market weakness. Crypto is crushed. USD is king. I have been pleasantly surprised by the resilience of the Straits Times Index(STI) and the Singapore stock market for most of the past 2 weeks. There were...
  5. M

    An analogy for Coinbase from the 90s

    I agree with you if you compare Beanie Babies with low-quality altcoins. But Bitcoin and Ethereum are different from Beanie Babies. A few differences between Beanie Babies and Bitcoin. - Bitcoin has a history of bouncing back from deep bear markets and exceeded the previous high. Bubbles like...
  6. M

    Indicators I use for gauging stock market momentum

    This is a continuation of the previous post where I talked about the software I developed for observing stock indices. Stock indices alone are not representative of a country's stock market as only the big companies with large market capitalization are represented. The vast majority of smaller...
  7. M

    Indicators I use for gauging stock market momentum

    France, Germany, UK stock indices are on the list of indices that I monitor. In the screenshot I captured in the opening post, these indices were not shown because they were ranked near the bottom at the point of writing. In total, 47 stock indices are monitored. My PC monitor is not large...
  8. M

    Indicators I use for gauging stock market momentum

    I am primarily a momentum investor. I seek out the strong country stock markets and pick stocks in them. A good indicator of the strength of a stock market is the country's benchmark stock index. To gauge the strength of a stock index, I use the following indicators; Moving averages 52-week...
  9. M

    Inverted yield curve has not been useful for predicting bear markets in a timely fashion. Data here

    I'm not looking for a recession. My focus is on equity bear markets, not recession. Equity bear markets and economic recession are two separate matters. Sometimes they go hand-in-hand, sometimes they don't.
  10. M

    Inverted yield curve has not been useful for predicting bear markets in a timely fashion. Data here

    In my analysis, I don't care about recession. I care about about whether the stock market is going into a bear market. The economy can go into recession but as long as the stock market continues to go up or at least doesn't go down too much, it doesn't bother me as an investor. Furthermore, an...
  11. M

    Inverted yield curve has not been useful for predicting bear markets in a timely fashion. Data here

    This week (01Apr2022), the yield curve has inverted in U.S Treasury bond markets. This is big news in financial media. Why is this a significant event? According to experts, the inverted yield curve is one of the best predictors of impending economic recession. As an investor, the question that...
  12. M

    Market observations and actions

    The Russian equity fund bought turned out to be a big money-loser within 1 week of purchase. The painful experience was shared in this elitetrader thread. https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/lost-78-within-1-week-of-purchase-of-russian-equity-fund-my-after-thoughts.365609/
  13. M

    Market observations and actions

    Time to add and hunt for more Singapore stocks (19Mar2022) After taking painful batterings for the past few weeks since the outbreak in the Russia-Ukraine war, this week was a strong week for stock markets all over the world. What I like about the momentum is how the market rallied despite bad...
  14. M

    Lost 78% within 1 week of purchase of Russian equity fund. My after-thoughts.

    This "don't catch falling knife" rule works most of the time but not all of the time. Those who took the risk to buy the U.S market during 1987 Black Monday crash would have done well. Nevertheless, for most people who aren't interested in participating in financial markets, it's better not to...
  15. M

    How do you manage risk of an exchange cancelling trades?

    LME cancelled nickel trades this week. Elite traders who should have made money were denied their rightful money. Then there are some who thought they made money, placed other trades like relative value bets, now their relative value bets are screwed up ... How would you manage the risk of an...
  16. M

    Lost 78% within 1 week of purchase of Russian equity fund. My after-thoughts.

    Hopefully, the funds are frozen but not confiscated. At the moment, western powers have frozen Russian assets, not confiscate them. I do not expect Russia to escalate the situation.
  17. M

    Lost 78% within 1 week of purchase of Russian equity fund. My after-thoughts.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/mar/10/russia-plans-to-seize-assets-of-western-companies-exiting-country Vladimir Putin prepares economic retaliation for western sanctions, including laws to impound $10bn of leased airline jets Russia has drawn up plans to seize the assets of western...
  18. M

    Lost 78% within 1 week of purchase of Russian equity fund. My after-thoughts.

    The Russian equity fund was a diversified portfolio of value stocks. Chances of survival is certainly on the high side. What worried me is whether the Russians will retaliate against the West by confiscating foreign fund holdings. All other investment considerations are irrelevant if property...
  19. M

    Lost 78% within 1 week of purchase of Russian equity fund. My after-thoughts.

    I don't have to prove anything with regards to what you think. You're entitled to your opinion. I will not hold anything against you. You can disagree strongly and have an unfavourable opinion of me. I don't care about that. What I do care about is the content of what I wrote (factual mistakes...
  20. M

    Lost 78% within 1 week of purchase of Russian equity fund. My after-thoughts.

    Do you mind telling me what do you think I am selling? The solutions I proposed Gold/Silver and Bitcoin have no centralised entity behind them. Who's going to pay me sales commission for selling them? Or maybe someone thinks I will benefit by driving up prices of Gold/Silver and Bitcoin through...
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