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Will exit if Indicative hits 3499 - will buy back at 5

Got a sell now Sell on NQ now on US Tech 100 (Mar) >3499 (4PM) @ $17

On YM i will buy if YM breaks 15565 Wall St 30 (Mar) >15549 (4PM) Wall St 30 (Mar) >15540 (4:15PM) For 85 or less

On ES I wil buy if the nadex indicative breaks 1769 Contracts US 500 (Mar) >1766.0 (4PM) US 500 (Mar) >1766.0 (4:15PM) at 85 or less

Sorry forgot to quote contract... US SmallCap 2000 (Mar) >1099.6 (4PM)

Right Now I have a pending buy on TF if the US Small Cap Indicative hits 1102.7 to buy the 1099.6 for 85 or less. Ideally less.

Sure. I will see what comes up. I am mostly done for the day but i will try to post at least one trade so long as I see a good setup. Though I will admit I will only do 1 contract as when I do a live trade with a "live" audience there is pressure to be right. I don't trade other peoples money...

Like everyone else i sell higher than I buy and buy back lower than I sell (well at least i hope to). Delta/binary is going to be 0 or 100 at expiration regardless of having a week, a day, 2 hours or 10 minutes to expiration. Closer to expiration higher the gamma faster the delta (price)...

A bet if you want it to be... i prefer to trade... (chart based trading, expected ranges based on vol as i am not holding to expiration] closing the trade for a profit before it expires - or exiting the trade to limit the loss before it expires - the delta will rise fall based on time passing...

FX Pair Initial Spike % Surpassed 50 pips/2 years Average High to Low in 2 Hours GBP Interest Rate GBP/USD 35 80% 85 GBP/JPY 35...

It suits a purpose. I trade it and do well enough on it. a) liquidity - already posted but.. http://screencast.com/t/fog47QNP Weekly SPY ETF verticals most with less than 550 like the US 500 Binaries http://screencast.com/t/vM0konwIhN You can put a bid and offer inside the bid ask spread...

Similar pricing models yes you won me over on that... poorly priced?...well we debated that over here just avoid either us having to double post any more than we already have... http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?t=281824&page=11

Finally we agree on delta and digital price. See no reason to argue on forward probability also stated it was not an exact method. You won me over on similarity as stated a few pages back with kudos involved as it progressed to you of the similarity. They are not the same. But yes I...

I don't trade touch binaries..not yet legally available to us residents.. as you stated you go through a friend and a vpn or something like that..... I just use the its at 20 its a fair approximation and when it hits it it will be at 47 etc.. We both have models...yours works for you mine...

Some are bid some are midpoint. Bid/ask spread alone can account for it etc.. But really my goal is not how would i price a binary to make a market. It is simply to obtain a simple approximation of fair value. Meaning is it hugely skewed. It is accurate enough...Yes I 100% agree there are...

Wow you just seem to talk and not listen maybe its that ignore button that has you so confused. Maybe you just hate to admit your wrong. Maybe you missed like the 5x I replied to your misunderstanding of the statement of not just ATM, but also ITM and OTM deltas lining up with binary pricing...

guess your memory is fuzzy - put me on ignore list - then post reply to me - then ask SLE to reply then sle replies - oh an inbetween it all sent me an insulting PM . so I guess I'm not on ignore now... Not sure what statements I redacted I agreed with him on many things. I've had no problem...

Thank you for the short sentences for us simple folk :) Appreciate your contribution. Though I do not see how this has contradicted what I have said already or agreed to.. 1 European digital can be priced and risk managed as an arbitrarily tight call spread (or put spread, same thing). Cool...

Lookbacks, and strips and touches and all that are well fascinating... Goog and PCLN and all that are great...but we are talking here about tiered binaries and well specifically as they relate to nadex types of binaries. Weve covered bid ask spread, fees, variable payouts on verticals versus...

Your fast way to go... Okay so you can also price binaries as verticals cool as he said so. You know what I think i already said...so well I agreed that yes WHILE open it can be viewed as a SIMILAR instrument on pricing. Expiration is where it varies. That is why it can be priced and hedged...