The scenario I presented would be an 89% drop, -7% more than the dot com bear. Many legends of trading think this bubble is larger then what we had in the dot com era.
Old traders that have been through brutal bears know just how bad things can get - which is when we tend to lean more on the...
Here is a forecast for the NDX100 if this turns into a brutal bear. Bubbles revert back to where they began. Just a wild guess, who knows?
In big bear markets often you see a retrace back to a multi decade trend line. Just having fun here - I hope I am dead wrong - go bulls!
When retail investors like Roaring Kitty & DeepF*ckinValue collapse a whale hedge fund it says a lot about Melvin Capital's piss poor risk mgmt.
Some hedge funds reported making huge profits from the stocks that the Reditt investors/traders got all the credit from in the media.
Market valuations are beyond or cose or at the highest in history depending on how you look at it. The dot.com era was not nearly as broad as this Fed bubble.
Markets are very predictable. All excesses regress to the mean, but before the regress to the mean it reverts to the other excess...
Classic bear market conditions - ahh, just like the god old days. Can't wait until the herd starts chanting "the market never goes up, short the rallies".
ARKK did well off the 2020 Covid panic low - but some ETFs did much better:
2020 ETFs Covid Panic lows to 2021 high
ARKK 370% 228 days
SOXL(3x) 1,850% 440 days
FNGU(3x) 1,881% 413 days
LABU(3x) 1,236% 229 days
TECL(3x) 1,068% 428 days
FAS(3x) 875%...
Soros is the greatest macro trade of all times. Calling a 13 year old Jewish kid a Nazi collaborator for having to tag along with his fake god-father in order to survive makes the sickly minded accuser the real Nazi collaborator.
For collecting property owned by Jews the Nazis set up “Jewish...
Trading MNQ long off the 2B with my thesis "since when does Powell take away the punch bowel ?" Left part of my position on, looking for another big leg up, maybe new highs? This time year is often lucrative for bulls.
I have a trade thesis in advance with price levels as triggers & the exits defined - this keeps me in control, chilled out, & gives me the conviction to execute well.
I noticed this is something many retail traders are not doing.
Been shorting equities & going long side since the late 90's. I learned the hard way to short only the larger cap stocks which can provide excellent profits with much lower risk & trading costs than the low price/low float stocks.
I personally know two traders that short stocks & have done well...