My win ratio is around 75-85%. Let's take 75%.
Expectation = sum(probabilities*value)
Expectation = (37.5% * 0.25$ + 37.5% * 0.06 + 25% * -0.25$)
Expectation = 0.054$ on average.
So, yes you have positive expectation. But you have to play with the numbers because you wont have 25 cents on...
3 fills, 2 longs, 1 short, 2 winners, 1 loser. Flat net.
Missed BBY as retailers. Had the insight to cut it at a loss fast and then it went up. Got some good exits on the two others.
Monthly recap:
63 longs, 45 shorts, 91 winners, 17 losers.
Average fill qty 5.14, min 0, max 16.
+0.14 average per share, min -0.44, max +0.30.
Played 21 days.
Best month so far.
Interbankfx runs with Metatrader so charting is good.
Micro available, trade 1 cents per tick.
Spread can widen some times, sunday afternoon, and on news or at random times but it's usually ok.
Would recommend but not the best. As long as I know it's the best for micro.
4 fills, 3 longs, 1 short. 2 winners, 2 flat. +0.13.
Made some improvement over the week end. Can now cancel sectors and industries easylli and also made it easyer to cancel the news. More time to read the news :-)
It's only a little 100% retracement after a double top on the S&P. No big deal.
This "crisis" is overstated. We just now have better medias that can make it looks like it's worst than it really is.