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  1. tfp

    is there any tool for trading/simulating options?

    Best options platform out there: thinkorswim
  2. tfp

    CL Journal

    Afraid Overnight is correct - you will want to call your broker immediately...
  3. tfp

    How hard will I get crushed by this volatility crush?

    thinkorswim - best options analytics platform in the industry...
  4. tfp

    ES overnight gap trading

    We did some analysis on this several years ago. Here's the link: http://tradeflight.com/2009-es-gap-fill-summary-part-deux
  5. tfp

    Day trading derivatives futures.

    There's an old saying from the pits - "somebody do something!" Enjoy the holiday - tomorrow is another day...
  6. tfp

    Day trading derivatives futures.

    Light, Sweet, yet always Crude Missed the short setup after London open, caught a mere 20 ticks after London close exhaustion. Ran out of fuel after BH Rig'atoni count.
  7. tfp

    In Search of God!

    "Never confuse price with value." - Mr. Market
  8. tfp

    CL Journal

    Hope shorts from 4925 took profits - she took a nice run down to 47s. 50s are now back in play. Have a good weekend all.
  9. tfp

    Calling Mr. Fixit - help on a Double Calendar trapped in illiquidity

    You make some great points Jules. And yes you are correct - apologies - if assigned you would be short 800. To @Overnight's point, the day one realizes that's not mean, but simply the way the market works - you are on your way to thinking like a market maker. Jules - i wish you the very best...
  10. tfp

    Calling Mr. Fixit - help on a Double Calendar trapped in illiquidity

    Congratulations - you just paid $1,400 in education fees to the university of thinly traded options. A few recommended steps: Realize you only have Tuesday Sept 5 to work with before earnings premarket on Wed Sept 6. There may not be much you can do before earnings. Constantly ask yourself...
  11. tfp

    Crude flash crash about 15 mins ago... scary

    Crude experiences 30-50 mini 'flash crashes' each day. These are the breadcrumbs left by professional money taking profits , the stops of weak holders getting cleaned out, or often a nice combination of the two. This morning, after a nice setup from London lows, we can see profits being taken...
  12. tfp

    CL Journal

    Friday was a good trading day even though they didn't hit my aggressive target... Will probably tag it Sunday night, but I don't hold overnight ;)
  13. tfp

    CL Journal

    If you can hold through Hurricane Janet, you are either bold, brave, clueless, or a swing trader ;) However, nice support if they can keep it above 4757s. Can they hit 4820s today? If 4757s break down, the deal is off. In the infamous words of Jimmy Buffett - only time will tell. ...
  14. tfp

    CL Journal

    Targets are typically fractal. Wondering if we can see 4950s today if she can sustain the move. Nicely done B1S2 - way to step in shortly after 0930 CT 15min candle closers:
  15. tfp

    Crude is screwed, man.

    Fade the Fed(ex) - Buy US Bonds. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-07-31/no-bubble-in-stocks-but-look-out-when-bonds-pop-greenspan-says
  16. tfp

    CL Journal

  17. tfp

    CL Journal

    We don't care WHAT the news is, we just care THAT the news is:
  18. tfp

    CL Journal

    LOL - last week I posted a likely trade setup hours before it happened, complete with setup, point of failure (aka stop), targets, and even likely timing. Apologies my schedule prohibits me from providing this level of service with every trade ;) But in case there are ever any doubts regarding...
  19. tfp

    CL Journal

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2017-07-10/oil-trades-near-44-a-barrel-video Resistance at 44? LOL - Fake News - 44s were a great place to get long this morning: Meanwhile, enjoy the mini flash crash on the emini...
  20. tfp

    CL Journal

    The only caption that comes to mind for the chart below is "The Importance of Taking Profits" --there is no such thing as a swing trade with light, sometimes sweet, yet always crude oil...
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