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Now, you can ask the same question in US. Can it innovate and create value and productivity going forward? US doesn't have the best system, but it is 1st in relative terms for now. Education system -- Grad 12 and below not good. Excellent in universities and that is all it matters since...

One thing that is very important and very hard to do is innovation. It is easy to march million of people to build infrastructure and such, but it takes happy people to innovate. China motivate people to innovate by capitalism and nationalism, but depends on how China does it. It can or...

I have to agree with that. Before BRIC gets too strong, we need to clean up our balance sheet and make ourselves more competitive. The capital per income gap is big between US and BRIC and there is no fundamental reason why the gap won't be closed in the future.

My company used to have this "Personal Holiday". This allow individuals to take it the way they wanted.

Someone please shoot me..:( "The measure hands the Treasury Department the power to extend the government-sponsored mortgage companies an unlimited line of credit and buy an unspecified amount of their stock, if necessary, to prop up Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, two companies chartered by...

Here is the problem. If FNM and FRE is too big to fail, either 1) Nationalized them. 2) Replace them with more public housing. 3) Or Break them up into individual little piece that are small enough to fail. As of right now, there is no such thing as all upside and no downside. This...

It has been proven multiple times. If you want to fool someone in a forum, you are trying to fool a wide range of people of different discipline. Odds are not on your side..:)

Yupe, hell will freeze over before US will even come close to that. Too much entitlement programs. In Hong Kong, you can't walk away from your mortgage. You bet on housing. If you lose, you eat the lost. None of this, oh no, I don't understand I could be in this much trouble. *cry*...

Sad, but probably true.

That's not going to work..:) Those are secondary industries. They made money off local people. Without anyone getting foreign currency, sooner or later you can't get any foreign product or service.

Don't know what you mean by buy some vol and short the stock. That fact that there are 4000 open interest @ 10 and 8000 @ 20 indicate someone is betting long IV and short stock as of today. I don't have open interest history. So, I don't know whether today interests increase or drop.

hrm... Seems like this is a long IV and short stock play. Half a mil... definitely risky..:) Very bearish + leverage.

Good post.

Exactly, if most people here are confident about generating return 20% year after year, the topic flooding this site will be how can I borrow money the cheapest way to leverage up..:) In fact, this is the main problem for private equity. Anyway, it is very well possible that I don't know...

I am talking about year after year for 10 years. There are guys in P&L that can do that but not that many. Also, not counting small accounts..:) If your track record as a mutual fund manager is 20% year after year for ten years, you got to be prized target for headhunter. If tons of...

Think about it. He or she will break even trading full time if he or she can generate enough return to cover inflation + his normal 9-5 full time salary. That means your starting capital has to be around ~6x of your annual income provided you can generate 20% return year after year. ~14x if...

You were replying to my suggestion. Yes, my suggestion is not a good trade from my point of view too. The OP asked for a way to short volatility without unlimited risk and that is one way I can think of. If there are other suggestion, definitely feel free to post..:)

How about this. Pure non-directional trade and short V. Buy June puts and calls and sell July puts and calls. Same strike price. ( Assume news come out before June 21 ) If news come out and stock doesn't move, it likely won't move in July neither. You keep the premium difference...

He want to change this thread to Dem vs Rep since he is getting roasted with the NASA comment..:)

There are lots of basic science coming out of NASA. All the details that you can look at on Mars can apply to Earth also. Sooner or later, whoever control the orbit will have a great military advantage because at some point, submarine will not be invisible anymore. Then, when there is a...