Search results

Thanks, I will.

What percent of option sellers make money do you think? I think people who intelligently buy DITM calls on good stocks do ok.

But doesn't the stock market go up naturally over time, while for everyone who wins with options, someone else loses. If you trail the s and p, by 2% a year, maybe in a way you lost, but you still made 8% a year.

I learned something valuable at this site. It is how hard options are to succeed at. What particularly hit me was the statement that 90% of retail traders lose money in options. Someone on another site warned me also. I think I do have some advantages over the average person. While I don’t...

Yes, that is something that can be calculated.

That's very impressive.

Is there an equation you can provide where the variables are easy to find?

Ok, I will give my guess. You make money, and have fun, but don't necessarily do better than just holding VOO.

Why the smartest math people in the world? I looked at the black sholes pricing model, which I am sure a computer will compute for you. It's sophomore level math. Clearly, you can't be innumerate to understand it, but I would think people in the top 25% in math ability would not have too...

I have two formula's I use. 1. I like the annualized gain/prob. of expiring ITM > 1 2. probability of expiring OTM + annualized gain > 100%

brk-b

But are you successful?

Check the most recently published quarterly book per share. When the P/B ratio drops below 1.35 sell some BRK stock and use the proceeds to buy long dated deep in the money BRK call options. ... Then, next time the stock trades above 1.55 times known book per share, take the profits on the calls...

Yes, my error, I meant to say, best length for selling CCs.

I am not sure. I am trying to learn as much as I can so I am not the 90%. I am learning different strategies also. What strategies do you use?

On an annualized basis of course.

My guess is the premium is higher. Monthlies pay more than quarterlies, and weeklies pay more than monthlies.

Is it fair to assume that because of the short expiration that the annualized premium is much higher?

Could you sell one call at a delta of 30, and buy it back when delta becomes 50.

I love that idea.