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Dollars nailed it ... PE contraction will occur as rates rise.

Taking DT's thought another step ... From 1871 to present, the real price of the S&P has a compound annual growth rate of 2%. If we also include dividends, the CAGR is still shy of 3%.

Never mind ... i found the needed info by digging a bit deeper into past posts ... sorry for the needless post. Note to moderator: Please delete this thread, if possible.

Are there any packages running on Linux?

Over the long-term, bond and stock prices will trend in the same direction. To see this relationship, though, you will need to look at charts dating back to at least the 1970's. The basis for this relationship is probably manyfold. Two important reasons might be: (1) alternative investment...

The following link is for data compiled by Dr. Robert Shiller, which was used in his book, "Irrational Exuberance." All kinds of cool stuff is in that link. http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data/ie_data.htm Steve

If ya' wanna have some real fun, toss in the earnings data for the SP-500. You might find the relationship between interest rates, stock yields and inflation to be kinda intriguing.

You will also want GDP data, which you can also obtain in the BLS website. Lemme know if you can't find it ... i have it dating back to 1929.

The timing is good for bringing up the topic of T Theory. Terry Laundry has recently started posting basic lessons about his theories on his website. He is also doing new research.

The PE expansions occurring during the 1982-2000 Bull Market resulted, in great part, from falling interest rates. Certainly, other factors contributed to increasing equity prices; however, lower interest rates probably accounted for most of the change. That string has run out. If...

I use Fidelity for my option orders. They have never busted an order, but once an order was executed outside the bid/ask range ... not in my favor. I called customer service to ask about it. Their answer was kinda flaky, but plausible. However, upon receiving the confirmation statement, the...

I tend to use an absolute dollar stop limit, which is based upon a percentage of my trading capital (1%). Thus, my stops occur as a result changes to option price. Steve

Regardless of the source used for historical options data, you might also need the "closing" bid and ask prices. It is common for those prices to differ noticeably from the price of the last trade, since option volumes are much lower than volumes of the related security. Thus, the last trade...

Bill, If i may ask: what % of your trading equity is tied up in your MAGS position? It might be safe to assume it's a sizable position, which would explain some of the concern shown by those wishing for you to protect your profits. On the other hand, if the MAGS position is not significant...

Enkidu007, By now -- considering the responses to your post (and tones of such) -- it might be obvious there are numerous paths to success and failure for investors and traders. Regardless of whether their remarks were covered in honey or vinegar, the people suggesting hard work, study and...