Search results

... and if the markets don't tank today?

Which part of Soro's comment do you believe to be incorrect?

Many people back test, but they use a wider selection of software than Wealth-Lab or Amibroker. The array of packages available is overwhelming, so it can take a lot of time to sort through the possibilities and find something suiting your near- and long-term needs. I have not extensively...

More loosely translated: Hope you didn't bet the farm on this trade.

Which raises the question, "Who are our friends in the trading business?".

Each 1% rise in mortgage interest rates is equivalent to a 10% rise in housing prices when making monthly payments (30-year loan). If rates rise 2% and house prices drop 20%, the slight decline in monthly mortgages payments probably won't make housing more affordable.

With the benefit of your response, I am able to put your posts into their proper perspective. Thank you.

Auto-surfing as seen through the eyes of the SEC: http://www.sec.gov/investor/pubs/autosurf.htm

The cause for concern may have been obscured as this thread progressed ... The OP's initial post raised a couple red flags. Ironically, there is some chance the trade will work out okay (not great, but okay). I've not been able to get comfortable, though, to believe the OP has sufficient...

And, if the market goes up ...

If you are wrong, your OTM puts will expire worthless and "a significant %" of your net worth will be gone. Nitro is right. Your view of the macro landscape might be 100% correct, but people may choose to react in an "illogical" manner, pushing equity prices higher for a while. There are too...

I disagree. It may be close to where it started, but it's not been standing still.

My long system was firing off buy signals on Thursday and Friday like crazy. One day, though, does not a trend make. It's too early to declare victory or defeat for either camp.

Yes, companies are now required to report the estimated cost of employee options as expense (FASB 123R).

This link might prove useful: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Employee_stock_option

Correct. The effect may be most noticeable to position traders riding a long-term trend.

I have not been in a situation like you described. Consequently, I can only offer conjecture about the pros and cons I might consider while making my decision. If we ignore the potential legal implications, this may be similar to accepting a very large gift from a generous benefactor you...

Yes, S&P 500 earnings will be up > 10% Q2 2005 to Q2 2006. The few press releases i scanned were silent about the comparative periods they used, leaving people the chance to draw their own conclusions.

Yeah, > 10% is a stretch. Who is publishing that number?

Without the benefit of back test results, what benchmark do you use to monitor whether your system has lost its edge?