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A rapid rise is not a prerequisite for sharp declines. The market was up modestly the twelve months preceding the almost 50% drop in 1973-1974.

Well said.

What action should a person take if "yes" garners more votes than "no" in this poll?

You will like this if you liked that: www.stratasearch.com

The value of the call is in how it is perceived, and so the related consensus is more important than the call itself.

These programs, which can download the data you want, have free trials: http://www.databull.com/ and http://www.trading-tools.com/mld.htm.

Excellent comments.

Haven't U.S. equities been in a secular bear market since 2000?

I recalled the same quote while reading the original post.

Do an Internet search on "WizeTrade" or "GlobalTech". Here's a start: http://www.elitetrader.com/so/?action=view&SR_ProductID=55 http://www.infomercialscams.com/scams/wizetrade

You may find what you want in this link: http://www.federalreserve.gov/RELEASES/z1/current/z1.pdf

Agreed.

A century's worth of U.S. market history shows Aaron's estimate to be very reasonable.

www.bigcharts.com

The "New Era" theory, which was also popular in the U.S. in early 1900's, 1920's, 1950's, 1960's and 1990's.

This analogy is correct if price changes are completely random.

Is this an estimate of maximum potential yield per day?

It gapped higher from prior day's close (50.54) to open (54.06).

Agreed.

Pandora.com is very good.