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a just read part of long discussion betwwen you guys here : http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=17357&perpage=6&pagenumber=4 and just wanted to add this : A/ the 2 jcp chart posted by manz66 aren't from him but from me, i posted them at the time on a small trading...

i think the BoJ weakness story is overplayed here, on one hand i can't see yen breaking below 0.925 (108) and on the other hand i think the rumors about the BoJ nolonger willing to support the greenback are overplayed here , with the yuan peged to the dollar japan has his 2 eggs in the...

barush you just put your finger on the problem ;-)

"I guess you and I look at this differently. If I were successful today in buying a property at a large discount....I reduce the value of my discount by holding the property for 30 years....is this not true? Therefore, the value of buying at signficant discounts becomes less important (not...

courtesy of the current low rates and low dollar environement , as long as this paradisiac environement is there there's no problem beating records,

"You probably a stock trader, not FX trader. If you take a look at recent USD fall, the fall has been broad-based. With USD index fell below 90.00. This, in turn, resulted in rallies in EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, and a dip in USD/CHF with the exception in USD/JPY where the fall, somehow failed...

"Theoretically, if you controlled all the gold in the world what would it be worth? Nothing, no one really needs gold for any widespread commercial purpose." you forgot to mention that demand is higher than supply for most precious metal while it's not the case for oil where there are many...

"If you bought the 100K property in a crash for let's say 70K, a $30K discount, that amounts to $1K per year over 30 years. " no it does not, interest rates have a coumpounding effect on bad investments (ie $1kyear + interest)....

"I would venture to say that these 2 countries and some other ones are quickly and very quitely unloading their dollars for gold." no chance the gold market simply isn't big enought

eternalfuture, your post is nice so i thought i may add a grain of salt or 2..... "Major currency pairs traded are of USD-related. Example: USD/CHF, USD/JPY, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD. if USD strengthens, USD/CHF and USD/JPY move up, and EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and AUD/USD fall." this isn't...

"the rise in JGB yields pacify's investors that Japan is at least turning the corner." yes clearly japanese money is fleeing back to japan, and the ensuing bearish figures for september's foreigne-private US treasury buying is underlining the trend......sort of US's mid 90's virtuose circle...

"a random distribution can have any form : rectangular, triangular, bell curve,... " i will check that, i can hardly see how a rectangular distribution could be the result of a random distributon, it seems to me we call that a constant distribution as to triangular-shaped distribution i...

"Exchange rates between currencies' are largely based on interest rate differentials" the key missing word here is expectation, hence the rates at whish pairs like GBP/JPY , EUR/JPY are trading at. in the run currency trader love inflation fear/expectation when it occurs in developed...

random distribution allways obeys to the gauss curve (95% betwen +2/-2 S of it's mean)

all in all the dollar is the world's valuation of the US economy.....the currency crosses are some sort of auction house where people buy&sell the entry ticket for investing in the US economy....allways interesting to compare it whith the local stock market (joe's valuation of the economy)

it's sort of helpfull, but what i'm truly looking for is some sort of historical data to gauge how the yield spread between comparable tips and bond is relative to past (i know one could obtain TIPS yield by substacting official inflation from bond yield but it wouldn't work here cuz i'm...

i'm looking for a ticker symbol (esignal or yahoo) for 10 year TIPS..... i know of tickers of several fund invested in TIPS (ACITX,FNISX,VIPSX) but i'm sort of more looking an index (like $tnx for normal bonds) anyone's help would be appreciated thanks in advance,

does any1 here have some reliable not too old figures on the percentage of US future volume generated by (full) automated systems ? thanks in advance,

fortuna :D

stupid how do you guy think asian country are keeping there ccy pegged to he greenback ? =>>> buying treasuries ! neither bush nor Snow are serious about this (i hope) they jts want to send a message to the rednecks down in midwest if they are however they can kiss the US economy good...